The purpose of this research is the simulation of the maize function to scenario of climate change to the present and future. So to survey the region climate, daily data, maximum and minimum temperature, precipitation and radiation have been utilized during the period of (1987-2016). In order to simulating of climate in future, firstly the date of IPCM4 model under scenario and 30’s and 50’s with downscaling LARS-WG model. Before the simulation yield of maize, APSIM model was evaluated and validated. To calculate the maize yield the output of LARS model, plant date and were utilized as the cropping input model of APSIM. By variance analysis maize yield was compared in present and future. The results showed that the APSIM model validation can simulate acceptable accuracy and climate parameters change effect on the yield rate of maize. And on the basis of the highest yield in Fasa the lowest in the city Abade in base line. In future under different scenarios of climate change, maze grain yield in Fars province except Abade, other cities are decreasing than base line.

 

plants needs a certain amount of heat at the time of planting and during its growth period, The temperature requirements of the 704 single-cross cultivar of maize in Moghan weather conditions have been found in this study to determine its temperature requirements in its different growing stages in order to investigate the feasibility of its planting in the north west regions of Iran. Daily weather statistics presenting the minimum, maximum and average temperature of 51 Synoptic stations from Meteorological Organization of Iran have been used in this study, their statistical periods range from 1 to 30 years (1365-1395), the statistics and information about 5 main phenology stages of 704 single-cross variety maize which are recorded continually in Agricultural Weather Service of Moghan station in Pars Abad from 1390 to 1391 are provided. Then the 15-day averages from April 21st to July 22nd is obtained. The relationship between the temperature and the height in the linear regression is calculated .Map of heat supply date for seed sowing in all stations from the first half of May was drawn in the GIS. The plant collective growth degree days and the number of days in every phenology phase are calculated for all of the stations and the related maps are plotted.Then,the final map plotted by combining the layers thermal, height, slope and land use in the study area. The results of this study only 27.6% of the study area is able of maize cultivating.