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Abolfazl Meshkini, Mohammad Reza Bahrami,
Volume 25, Issue 77 (7-2025)
Abstract

In the process of urban space creation, there exists a continuous exchange of ideas concerning the current state of that space and the desired conditions as articulated by its inhabitants. Improvements in the challenging realities of urban environments are often manifested through physical changes, one of which is urban regeneration. Given the proliferation of urban regeneration projects in recent decades, it is imperative to consider the social dimensions inherent in these initiatives. In this context, social capital, recognized as a significant social asset within neighborhoods, has assumed particular importance in the discourse surrounding regeneration. This research examines the role of social capital in the regeneration of urban neighborhoods, with a specific focus on the Islamabad Karaj neighborhood. The methodological approach employed in this investigation is descriptive-analytical. The primary objective of this study is to analyze the influence of social capital on the regeneration processes within the Islamabad Karaj neighborhood as perceived by its residents. Data collection for the theoretical framework was conducted using documentary analysis, while the empirical component involved a survey utilizing a questionnaire. The statistical population comprises individuals aged 15 years and older residing in a neighborhood of over 25,000 inhabitants, from which a sample of 410 respondents was selected through simple random sampling, employing Cochran's formula. For data analysis, Spearman's correlation coefficient and multiple linear regression analyses were conducted using SPSS software. The findings indicate a strong correlation between social capital and urban regeneration within the Karaj neighborhood of Islamabad. The implications of this research highlight the necessity to focus on the components of social capital and to implement policies aimed at its maintenance and enhancement to facilitate successful urban regeneration in the Islamabad Karaj neighborhood.

Laaya Jalilian, , Mohsen Ahadnejad, Hiwa865@gmail.com,
Volume 25, Issue 77 (7-2025)
Abstract

Policy-making in tourism development planning necessitates the adoption of innovative methodologies within the domain of urban governance. In alignment with this framework, it is imperative to implement policies that focus on the processes of "developing a good governance model for tourism in the post-COVID-19 era in Iran." This approach aims to mitigate the challenges posed by the pandemic, which has imposed significant strain on the tourism industry by reducing the evaluation of tourism governance indicators and establishing a foundation for their implementation. The methodology of this research is descriptive-survey with a practical focus, employing both documentary studies and field research. The qualitative component of the study utilized interviews as a tool for data analysis and the examination of relevant tourism indicators. The statistical population comprises experts and stakeholders involved in the tourism sector in Iran, with a sample size of 14 individuals selected through a combination of purposive and snowball sampling techniques. In-depth semi-structured interviews were conducted, and the data were analyzed through a process of open, axial, and selective coding until theoretical saturation was achieved, leading to the categorization of main and sub-categories. The data analysis was informed by the grounded theory methodology. The findings of this research, which identify indicators of effective governance and elucidate the causal conditions for the application of such governance in Iran's tourism industry, provide a foundation for potential outcomes, including the enhancement of the business environment, particularly in the aftermath of the economic downturn experienced due to the COVID-19 pandemic. These outcomes may lead to the creation of competitive advantages through the establishment of conducive platforms, including organizational measures, infrastructure development, technological enhancements, and the implementation of information and communication management strategies, marketing strategies, and oversight mechanisms, all of which are articulated as a comprehensive model.

Zohreh Maryanji, Fatemeh Sotoudeh, Meysam Toulabi Nejad, Ziba Zarrin,
Volume 25, Issue 77 (7-2025)
Abstract

Understanding and predicting future climatic conditions and characteristics is crucial due to their implications for various aspects of life. This research aims to forecast trends in extreme temperatures in the Hamedan region by employing statistical downscaling of general circulation model data. The LARS statistical downscaling model has been utilized to downscale data from the HadGEM2-ES general circulation model and the coupled CMIP5 model under three emission scenarios (RCP2.5, RCP4.5, RCP8.5). Correlation estimates between the simulated and observed data indicate values exceeding 0.95 for all months. Additionally, the p-values derived from statistical tests based on the model outputs demonstrate an acceptable level of performance in data generation and simulation. Consequently, data from 2011 to 2050 were extracted and analyzed for trends. To elucidate changes in trends, the data were examined across three distinct time intervals. The results indicate that in the optimistic scenario (RCP2.5), no significant trend is observed in the average and minimum temperatures. In contrast, significant trends in temperature data are evident under the RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios, suggesting that the increase in average minimum temperatures reflects severe climatic changes, particularly affecting precipitation patterns during the cold season. Furthermore, the analysis of the trend data reveals a significant increase in average maximum temperatures on both annual and monthly scales across all three examined scenarios, indicating an imminent environmental crisis.

Mrs Fatemeh Vatanparast Galeh Juq, Dr Bromand Salahi, Batoul Zeinali,
Volume 25, Issue 77 (7-2025)
Abstract

This study investigates the impact of the OLR MJO Index (OMI) and the Real-time Multivariate MJO (RMM) of the Madden-Julian Oscillation on the frequency of dust storms in the stations of Abadan, Ahvaz, Bostan, Bandar Mahshahr, Dezful, Ramhormoz, and Masjed Soleiman, located in Khuzestan province, during the period from April to September 1987-2021. Pearson correlation coefficients were computed to assess the relationship between dust data and the indices, and the findings were depicted through zoning maps. Subsequently, the frequency percentage of each index for both positive and negative phases was quantified. The results indicate a direct and significant correlation between the positive and negative phases of the indices and dust occurrences (with the exception of Dezful station), particularly during the positive phase of the OMI and the negative phase of the RMM. The highest correlation coefficients, ranging from 0.77 to 0.72, were observed for Bandar Mahshahr and Dezful stationsduring the positive phase of the RMM index. Analysis of the relationship between the Madden-Julian Oscillation and dust storms revealed that between 51% and 59% of dust storms in Khuzestan province occurred in the negative phase of the OMI index, while 40% to 49% occurred in the positive phase. In the case of the RMM index, 56% to 63% of dust storms were associated with its negative phase, in contrast to 37% to 50% linked to its positive phase. Notably, the negative phase of the RMM index exhibited a higher percentage of dust storms compared to the negative phase of the OMI index. According to the results of the Monte Carlo test, the displacement of the positive and negative phases of the RMM index significantly contributes to the occurrence of dust storms at most stations in Khuzestan province. Furthermore, tracking the pathways of dust entering Khuzestan province using the HYSPLIT model indicates the movement of particles originating from Iraq, Arabia, and the eastern regions of Syria toward Khuzestan province..

Mis Zakeyeh Aftabi, Phd Morad Kaveyani Rad, ,
Volume 25, Issue 77 (7-2025)
Abstract

Water is a strategic and scarce resource that has become increasingly limited in recent years due to a variety of national and transnational factors, significantly impacting security, stability, development, and prosperity in various countries. The profound influence of water on these domains has positioned it at the forefront of the foreign policy and hydropolitical relations of numerous nations, including those in South West Asia. In recent years, despite the prominence of the water crisis and its implications for the relations between Iran and Iraq within scholarly, political, and media discussions, the complexities of this issue remain poorly understood, leading to disparate interpretations. 
The current research, which is exploratory in nature, utilized library methods for data collection with the aim of achieving a qualitative understanding of the multifaceted hydropolitical relations between Iran and Iraq. This study not only seeks to identify the content and methodological characteristics of existing literature but also aims to uncover research gaps in this field employing a qualitative meta-analysis approach. Through this method, the research examined 34 studies published between 2014 and 2023, including domestic scientific articles, theses, and contributions to reputable international journals. The findings indicate that a comprehensive analysis of the various dimensions of hydropolitical relations between Iran and Iraq has yet to be undertaken. In this context, the absence of accurate and reliable data, alongside the inadequacy of theoretical and cognitive frameworks, represents significant deficiencies in the existing research on the bilateral relations of these two countries.
 

Dr. Hassan Kamran, Dr. Habibollah Fasihi,
Volume 25, Issue 77 (7-2025)
Abstract

The historical fabric of cities, which leave the cultural heritage of the urban community like a shining gem, has valuable capabilities for the prosperity of the city's economy and for linking the past, present and future. Preservation of this valuable heritage, along with efficient use of its capacities, is considered a serious duty of society members and an important responsibility for policy makers and managers. This article seeks to explore natural and human-induced hazards face to Baharestan as an example of Tehran's historical fabric neighborhoods and to study the physical and structural situation of the neighborhood to identify threats that put it at risk. The data was obtained from a few GIS files and a survey. Historical documents are also analyzed. According to the judgment of 30 sample experts, each value of the 19 using threat indicators is given a score from 1 to 5 so that, a higher number means a greater threat. The mean value of these scores indicates the role of each parameter in the vulnerability of this neighborhood. Research findings reveal a high potential for natural and human-induced events including earthquakes, flooding, strong winds, air pollution, and political protests. Physical, structural, and socio-economic situations in the neighborhood such as insecurity, drug abuse in public spaces, overcrowding, and daytime congestion have also led to rapid relocation of neighborhood residents, who subsequently were replaced by commercial activities and warehouses that attribute to risks as well. In order to protect this neighborhood as a cultural heritage, it is necessary to develop a detailed rejeneration plan that considers the entire historical fabric of Tehran.
 
Toba Alizadeheh, Majid Rezaie Banafsh, Gholamreza Goodarzi, Hashem Rostamzadeh,
Volume 25, Issue 78 (10-2025)
Abstract

Dust is a phenomenon with significant environmental impacts across various aspects of human life, including agriculture, economy, health, and more. The purpose of this study is to investigate and predict the dust phenomenon in Kermanshah. Meteorological data with a 3-hour resolution for the statistical period (2000–2020) from the Kermanshah station was obtained from the Meteorological Organization. First, the dust data were normalized, and then Artificial Neural Network (ANN) models were used to predict dust concentration, while the Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) was employed to analyze and predict the time series of dust occurrence in MATLAB software. The findings revealed that the maximum predicted dust concentration, related to the minimum dew point with the highest Pearson correlation with dust, was estimated at 3451.23 µg/m³. Additionally, the results of the time series prediction using the ANFIS model showed that the linear bell membership function with grade 3, during both the training and testing stages, was the most effective input function among other membership functions. According to the forecasting models, the highest probability of maximum dust occurrence in the next 20 years in Kermanshah is 94%. Based on the aforementioned studies, sufficient information was gathered to conduct this research. The phenomenon of dust, particularly in western Iran and the city of Kermanshah, has consistently posed significant challenges for the residents of these areas. This phenomenon is influenced by specific atmospheric conditions that cause irreparable damage annually, leading to respiratory issues and deteriorating air quality. Therefore, it is essential to pay serious attention to the issue of dust.
 

Nahid Keshavarz, Hamidreza Joodki, Ali Nourikermani,
Volume 25, Issue 78 (10-2025)
Abstract

The historical district of cities is a valuable architectural and urban heritage, reflecting the cultural, economic, and social dimensions of the people who, throughout history, have lived in this part of the city and shaped its cultural identity. These areas have witnessed a decline in urban development, and the limited efforts made toward their improvement or reconstruction have been inadequate. The aim of this analytical research is to explore urban regeneration in the historical (old) fabric of Dezful city. The research method employed in this study is a survey-based approach. The statistical population of the present study includes all residents of the historical fabric of Dezful, which, according to the latest census by the Statistical Center of Iran, has a population of approximately 29,277 people. To achieve a logical sample size, Cochran's formula was used, resulting in the selection of 384 samples through stratified random sampling. The primary data collection tool in this research is a questionnaire; however, due to the specialized nature of the questionnaire, interview and observation methods were also utilized to complement the questionnaire data. The results derived from the SWOT and QSPM models indicate that, out of the five final strategies for the regeneration of the historical fabric of Dezful, the top two strategies belong to offensive strategies. Accordingly, studying and designing the possibility of creating pedestrian pathways in the historical fabric—considering the growing public interest in cultural and historical tourism—and utilizing the space along the Dez River for green space development and designing a green corridor along the river and historical fabric can be considered the most important offensive strategies.

Ms. Aida Faroghi, Professor Manuchehr Farajzadeh, ,
Volume 25, Issue 78 (10-2025)
Abstract

In this study, the frequency of merging events between the polar-front jet stream and the subtropical jet stream, along with their impact on precipitation patterns in western Iran, was analyzed over a ten-year statistical period (2010–2019). Utilizing coding in GrADS, 300 hPa jet stream maps were produced at six-hour intervals. Throughout the study period, the axes of these two jet streams merged on several occasions.
An examination of the frequency of merging indicated that, prior to 2015, the frequency of merging in December exhibited an increasing trend. However, this trend diminished in 2016 and 2017, only to experience a resurgence in 2018 and 2019. It is noteworthy that not all instances of jet stream merging resulted in significant precipitation events (e.g., December 2011, 2014, and 2017). For instance, in light of the substantial rainfall of 110 mm recorded at the Dehloran station, the period from December 12 to 15, 2010, was selected for detailed analysis to elucidate the atmospheric mechanisms responsible for the rainfall. From December 12 to 15, 2010, a decline in air temperature over Europe and Southwest Asia prompted a considerable meridional displacement of the polar-front jet stream, resulting in its merger with the subtropical jet stream. On December 12, 2010, as the polar-front jet stream underwent meridional movement and extended into tropical regions, its velocity core merged with that of the subtropical jet stream over the northern Arabian Peninsula, the Red Sea, and northeastern Africa. The convergence of these two jet streams led to a vertical expansion of the jet stream into lower atmospheric levels. At the mid-levels of the atmosphere, minimal meridional movement was observed. As a result, the Sudan low-pressure system migrated to higher latitudes, merging with the Mediterranean low-pressure system.

Mahrookh Ghazayi, Nazfar Aghazadeh, Ehsan Ghaleh, Elhameh Ebaddyy,
Volume 25, Issue 79 (1-2026)
Abstract

The depletion of surface water resources has necessitated uncontrolled groundwater abstraction in various regions worldwide, resulting in substantial reductions in groundwater table levels. As populations continue to expand, the extraction of these essential resources has intensified, posing a significant threat to natural reserves. This study aims to monitor groundwater levels through the analysis of satellite imagery and to investigate the correlation between these levels and land use patterns. To accomplish this objective, relevant satellite images were acquired and subjected to appropriate pre-processing. An object-oriented methodology was employed to generate land use classification maps for two distinct years, alongside a land use change map covering a fifteen-year period from 2000 to 2015. Moreover, groundwater level maps for the study area were produced for both years utilizing the Gaussian method, recognized as the most accurate approach. The findings indicate a robust and significant relationship between land use and groundwater levels, revealing that areas with higher vegetation exhibit lower groundwater levels compared to other regions. This phenomenon can be attributed to the hydrological dynamics that facilitate the movement of water from higher potential zones to these areas. Additionally, irrigated agricultural practices demonstrated the most pronounced average decline in water levels relative to other land uses, underscoring the excessive reliance on groundwater for irrigation in the study area. The results further illustrate that the conventional kriging method with Gaussian variance surpasses other techniques in estimating groundwater table depths across both statistical periods. Analysis through conventional kriging reveals a general decline in groundwater levels throughout the majority of the plain during the study period, with a maximum decrease of 40 meters and an average reduction of 15 meters.

Ms Zahra Sharghi, Dr Mostsfs Basiri, Dr Mahsa Faramarzi Asl,
Volume 25, Issue 79 (1-2026)
Abstract

The emergence of new cities can be attributed to the significant increase in the population of urban areas. Over the past two decades, numerous new cities have been established in proximity to the country's metropolises, with the new city of Sahand serving as a pertinent example. The primary objective of this research is to elucidate the physical development trajectory of Sahand, utilizing Landsat satellite imagery spanning the statistical period from 1373 to 1401. To this end, satellite images corresponding to four distinct statistical periods (1373, 1383, 1393, and 1401) were acquired from the Landsat 5 and Landsat 8 satellites. By applying a band calculation function to the images captured by the Thematic Mapper (TM) and Operational Land Imager (OLI) sensors, the physical changes in the urban fabric of Sahand during the specified temporal intervals were quantified and analyzed. The findings of this research indicate that the physical growth and development of Sahand commenced in 2013, at which point the urban area encompassed 282 hectares, representing a 28-fold increase since that year. In the subsequent decade, the urban area expanded to 570 hectares, reflecting a 100% growth relative to the previous decade. Ultimately, during the final decade under review, the urban area reached 850 hectares, exhibiting a growth rate of 50%. Notably, District 6 of Sahand, which constitutes approximately 35% of the city's physical fabric, emerged as one of the fastest-growing regions between the years 1393 and 1400. Moreover, a statistically significant correlation was identified between population growth and the physical development of Sahand during the statistical period from 1380 to 1400, with a confidence level of 0.95 (P_value=0.05) and a correlation coefficient (R) of 0.91. Consequently, the regression model fitted to the relationship between population growth and urban fabric expansion, when incorporating the projected population density following the implementation of Mehr housing policies (which anticipates a population of 185,000), suggests that the area of Sahand's physical fabric will increase to 1,181 hectares in the forthcoming decade, indicating a growth rate of 38%. 

Ghazal Asadi Eskandar, Bahador Zamani, Shahab Kariminia, Maryam Ghasemi Sichani,
Volume 25, Issue 79 (1-2026)
Abstract

Increased temperatures in urban areas due to high energy consumption and greenhouse gas emissions are some of the problems of today's cities. Urban open spaces in hot and arid climates experience this problem more in summer. The purpose of this study is to show the relationship between morphological components of the urban fabric and thermal comfort through integrated analysis. In this study, urban fabric types were extracted by considering ground space index, floor space index, open space ratio, average height, streets orientation, streets organization, and type of plots according to their configuration of mass and space. To study thermal comfort, a field study was carried out in five neighborhoods in the historical context, for five continuous days in summer. Environmental variables including air temperature, humidity, radiant temperature, and wind speed were measured, and the physiological equivalent temperature index was calculated using ENVI-met software; thermal comfort in the neighborhoods with different morphological characteristics was analyzed. The results showed that more than half of the data during the day in the hot season in all five neighborhoods are in conditions of extreme heat stress. Comparison of neighborhoods with different morphological features indicated that two neighborhoods with higher open space ratios, despite the difference in the orientation of the streets and the type of plots, have lower thermal comfort compared to other types. A neighborhood with a higher ground space index and a lower open space ratio has a lower average physiological equivalent temperature.

Salman Kazemian Souraki , Fereshteh Nasrollahi, Amin Deilami Moazzi,
Volume 25, Issue 79 (1-2026)
Abstract

Shia political Islam, centered around Iran, is a complex and dynamic phenomenon that has undergone numerous transformations in recent decades. Understanding the future trends of this intellectual and political movement is of great importance to analysts, politicians, and the general public. This article employs a futures studies approach to examine the trends of Shia political Islam within Iran's political geography. This foresight approach allows us to look beyond the current situation and outline various scenarios for the future of politics and society in Iran. The methodology of this research is descriptive-analytical, utilizing library and documentary sources, including qualitative and quantitative analysis of historical data, expert interviews, and content analysis of media and religious texts. The research findings indicate that Shia political Islam in Iran's geography is undergoing a period of transformation, influenced by various factors such as demographic changes, social and economic developments, and geopolitical shifts. Several potential scenarios for the future of Shia political Islam in Iran's political geography are presented, including: the Continuity Scenario, the Reform Scenario, the Radicalism Scenario, and the Secularism Scenario. Considering these scenarios, the analysis of probable trends and events in the scenarios, and political and security developments with a view to challenges and opportunities in the Middle East region, the Islamic Republic of Iran, adhering to the Continuity Scenario along with the Reform Scenario, aims to strengthen republicanism (religious democracy) while emphasizing the preservation of independence and indigenous Islamic identity in the region, and to have a more prominent presence in the Middle East.
 
Mr Framarz Nik, Phd Ata Aleh Abdi, Phd Hosein Rabiei, Phd Hasan Rabei,
Volume 25, Issue 79 (1-2026)
Abstract

This study aims to identify the determinants influencing the political spatial organization of Alborz province. Employing a descriptive-analytical approach, this research utilizes qualitative data derived from library investigations and field studies. The methodology encompasses authentic document analysis and expert interviews to identify and examine factors affecting political spatial organization in Alborz province through grand theory application. Analysis revealed that determinants influencing political spatial organization in Alborz province encompass 50 contextual factors, 22 causal factors, 55 strategic factors, and 56 consequences. Predominant contextual factors include justice, social equity assurance, citizenship rights, national spatial political management, appointment of political administrators in divisional units, government-public communication, responsibility emphasis, and accurate recognition. Societal culture and geographic positioning represent primary causal factors, while strategic insight and educational-research strategy formulation constitute essential strategies. Administrative, military-security, and economic factors emerge as consequential elements impacting political spatial organization in Alborz province. The provincial state system operates as an open system, wherein constituent elements exhibit synergistic relationships and demonstrate temporal enhancement potential. Researchers synthesized findings into a comprehensive model demonstrating that optimal factor utilization within the system facilitates success, whereas inadequate implementation results in systemic failure within Alborz province's state management framework.

Dr Saeedeh Fakhari,
Volume 25, Issue 79 (1-2026)
Abstract

Investigating the awareness of the local community towards the development of ecotourism is very important and necessary for future planning. Ecotourism in any region affects the lifestyle of local people and their economic-cultural conditions. On the other hand, ecotourists are also influenced by the culture of the host society and its values. Therefore, this study examines the local community's awareness of supporting ecotourism development in Damavand City. Due to the preservation of unique biological diversity, climatic conditions, and the frequent visits of tourists and ecotourists to this region, the local community needs to know about ecotourism, which made this research necessary. The target community of this study is the local community of residents of Damavand city. Therefore, using Cochran's formula, the sample size was estimated to be 384 people. The data was collected through a researcher-made questionnaire, which was used to determine its validity, in addition to seeking opinions from experts (face validity), convergent validity was used. To calculate its reliability, Cronbach's alpha method and composite reliability were used. The results of the inferential statistics that were conducted using confirmatory factor analysis (Smart PLS software) showed that the four components of the research (local community awareness, economic poverty, cultural poverty, and ecotourism development) have homogeneity and reliability, and the awareness of the local community It has a significant relationship on the development of ecotourism with the mediating role of cultural poverty with the test statistic value of 4.195 and economic poverty with the test statistic value of 5.397. The results showed that the awareness of the local community on the development of ecotourism with the test statistic value of 2.032 indicates the low level of awareness of the local community towards the development of ecotourism.

Arefe Shabani Eraghi, Seyed Mohammad Zamanzade, Fariba Karami,
Volume 25, Issue 79 (1-2026)
Abstract

Reconstructing paleoclimate, particularly environmental temperature, plays a crucial role in understanding both current and future climate patterns. The aim of this research is to investigate the climatic conditions and estimate the ambient temperature during the Holocene period based on two sediment cores extracted from the Jazmurian Basin. Paleotemperature reconstruction was conducted using several methods, including the calculation of the standardized coefficient of variation of oxygen-18 and carbon-13 isotopes. For this purpose, the isotopic analysis of oxygen-18/oxygen-16 and carbon-13 was performed. In Jazmurian core 1, the initial temperature was estimated at 46°C. A decreasing trend of approximately 10°C was observed down to a depth of 175 cm, distributed across eight stratigraphic levels. At 175 cm, the temperature shows an increasing trend, followed by a decline at the subsequent level, and then a return to an increasing and stable trend in the next two levels. In Jazmurian core 2, the initial temperature was approximately 50°C. A sharp decrease in temperature is observed between depths of 80 to 125 cm. Subsequently, there is a slight increase of about 1°C, which remains relatively stable until a depth of 170 cm. Beyond this point, the temperature decreases again in the final two layers. The concentration of carbon-13 in core 1 ranges from 0 to 25.6, while in core 2 it varies between 25.9 and 27.1. In core 1, six carbon -13 isotope samples show a value of zero, indicating an absence of carbon-13 in those sediment layers. In contrast, core 2 displays a narrower range of variation in carbon-13 values. The isotopic and temperature variations observed in these sediment cores reflect different climatic phases during the Holocene in the Jazmurian region. Such climatic changes are often linked to cultural shifts, and the decline of ancient civilizations has frequently coincided with environmental transformations. The findings of this research may be of significant value to archaeology researchers, particularly those studying ancient Iranian civilizations.
Farzad Shirzad, Mr Bohlol Alijani, Mehry Akbary, Mohammad Saligheh,
Volume 26, Issue 80 (4-2026)
Abstract

Climate change and global warming are very important issues of the present century. Climate change process, especially temperature and precipitation changes, the most important issue is environmental science. Climate change means a change in the long-term average. Iran is located in the subtropical high pressure zone in arid and semi-arid regions and the Hyrcanian forest is a green area between the Caspian Sea and the Alborz mountain range. At the 43rd UNESCO Summit, the Hyrcanian forests were registered as the second natural heritage of Iran. Beech is one of the most important tree species and the most industrial species of Hyrcanian forests It accounts for about 18 percent of the northern forest volume (from Astara to Gorgan with a life span of about 250 years). The study area is located in the Shanderman basin in western Guilan province. In this research using tree dendroclimatology, Use of vegetative width of beech tree rings, Weather station statistics located in the study area, And Mann-Kendall nonparametric statistical method, To Investigate Climate Change Trend on Growth Time Series and Pearson Statistical Method, in order to evaluate the correlation of diameter growth of beech tree rings with climate variables in the region, an attempt was made. Results of time series of beech tree growth rings over 202 years. Using the nonparametric method Mann- Kendall showed, Changes in growth rings of beech trees have a downward and negative trend, at level 5 %, it was significant. Temperature Minimum, Average, Maximum, and Evaporation during the growing season, there was an upward trend and Annual precipitation there was a downward trend. Using the Pearson method Fit correlation of growth ring diameter with temperature, For the average monthly in February and the average minimum temperature in July, August and September and Negative correlation, for average maximum temperature in February, July, August and September at 95% level, it was significant and precipitation in June, the correlation was 95% positive and significant.

Dr. Vahab Amiri, Dr. Nassim Sohrabi, Dr. Seyed Mohammadali Moosavizadeh,
Volume 26, Issue 80 (4-2026)
Abstract

This study investigates the impact of natural and anthropogenic factors on the physicochemical composition of groundwater in the Qazvin aquifer. Based on the optimized Gibbs diagram, the concentration of samples at the end of the freshwater interaction path with silicate units results from geochemical evolution due to the dissolution of these geological units and an increase in the Na/(Na+Ca) ratio. The ion exchange mechanism was assessed using bivariate diagrams of Ca+Mg vs. SO4+HCO3 and Schoeller's chloro-alkaline indices CAI-1 and CAI-2. The results indicate that in 68% of the samples, direct ion exchange, and in 32%, reverse ion exchange control the groundwater chemistry. The changes in Ca vs. SO4 indicate that gypsum dissolution alone is not the source of these ions. These changes could be due to ion mobility and transport during pedogenic processes (sulfur biogeochemical cycle) and anthropogenic factors. The study also examined the role of factors such as agricultural input, atmospheric input, soil nitrogen, sewage input, manure input, chemical fertilizers, and the denitrification process in groundwater pollution using NO3/Na vs. Cl/Na and the NO3/Cl vs. Cl diagrams. The results reveal that agricultural and sewage inputs significantly impact the NO3 and Cl content. Furthermore, in some locations, especially in the southeast of the aquifer, the denitrification process causes a decrease in NO3 concentration. These findings can contribute to effective water resource management in this strategic aquifer by understanding the controlling mechanisms of physicochemical composition and identifying potential groundwater pollution sources.

Zahra Hedjazizadeh, Al Karbalaee, Mokhtar Fatahian,
Volume 26, Issue 80 (4-2026)
Abstract

This study investigates the spatial dynamics of the subtropical anticyclone over Iran during boreal summer, using daily ERA5 reanalysis data (1980–2020) and the Getis-Ord Gi* statistic to identify statistically significant hotspots (p < 0.01) in 500-hPa geopotential height (Z500) anomalies for June–August. Results reveal that the peak statistical hotspot occurs in July: a prominent warm cluster with Z-scores up to +4.1 (99% confidence level) forms over southwestern Iran (27°–32°N, 48°–60°E), reflecting the strongest positive departure from the long-term Z500 climatology. Conversely, a cold cluster with Z-scores reaching −10.2 emerges over the northwest (West Azerbaijan and Kurdistan provinces) the lowest value recorded over the entire period indicating pronounced geopotential depression driven by the orographic influence of the Alborz–Zagros ranges and incursions of mid-latitude systems. Histogram analysis of Z-scores confirms a distinctly bimodal distribution in July, with high frequencies in the [+2.5, +4.1] and [−10.2, −2.5] ranges and a pronounced trough near Z ≈ 0, underscoring strong spatial segregation between warm and cold clusters. Notably, the eastern half of Iran (central and eastern regions) consistently lacks significant hotspots across all three months, suggesting the presence of a dynamic transition zone shaped by the competition between subtropical and mid-latitude circulations. In August, although absolute Z500 exceeds 5890 m, the Z-score diminishes (+4.0), indicating that cumulative surface heating elevates the mean geopotential height but its anomalous intensity relative to climatology weakens compared to July. Collectively, these findings suggest that the dynamical peak of the Iranian subtropical high lags the peak of surface heating by approximately one month.

Professor Keramat Ollah Ziari, Mr Amin Mahmoudiazar, Mr Khalil Jangjoo, Leila Aslani,
Volume 26, Issue 81 (6-2026)
Abstract

One of the issues raised in the developing countries of the world is the issue of reducing damages caused by natural and man-made hazards. Various theories and paradigms such as crisis management and resilience have been proposed to reduce the level of risk vulnerability. Among the mentioned vulnerabilities is physical vulnerability. Now, the most important question that is raised in this research is whether according to the various studies that have been done in the field of physical vulnerability, apart from objective measures, the level of satisfaction of the residents has also been examined and whether it exists. Is there a relationship between objective and subjective indicators in this field? The case study studied in this research is Region 4 of Urmia City, which has a problematic context. This research is of an applied type and its method is descriptive-analytical, to examine this objective and subjective relationship of physical vulnerability, first objective variables were examined using spatial analysis and then subjective variables were examined using a Likert scale. questionnaire. And finally, this relationship has been measured using Pearson's correlation coefficient. The research results indicate that according to the correlation coefficient of 0.623 between subjective and objective variables; There is a significant relationship between the objective view (reality on the ground) and the subjective view (satisfaction of residents) in the field of urban physical vulnerability indicators.


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