Showing 229 results for Ca
Dr. Mahmoud Dehghan, Dr. Ataalah Abdi, Dr. Afshin Mottaghi, Dr. Mirhadi Hosseini,
Volume 0, Issue 0 (3-2007)
Abstract
In geopolitics literature, small and low-endowment states that compound lesser geopolitical potentiality and weight are considered as the trivial scale agents in comparison with the first and second level powers. These agents, in spite of the local geopolitical codes but sometimes can effect on the regional and even global events of geopolitics. The Caucasian region, historically, have had a field for appearance and exposition of sub-khans that their overall actions and agencies effected the events of the region and due to its cultural proximities to Iran, have effected in Iran’s geopolitical functions in national scale. The present paper with descriptive-analytical method, have studied historical role of the local agencies in geopolitical events of the Caucasia and their impression on the great scale events. Secondly, the paper has studied the quality of the chosen countries of the region in current circumstances of the global system. Results indicate that the Caucasian countries act according to their historical legacy as a small-scale agents among the great scale actors.
Hamzeh Alizadeh, Mehry Akbary, Zahra Hejazizadeh, Mohamad Ahmadi,
Volume 0, Issue 0 (3-2007)
Abstract
Kermanshah province, especially Ravansar city is one of the important regions of the country in the agricultural and horticultural sector, most of the time the hail phenomenon causes significant damage to these sectors. One way to reduce this damage is to install an anti-hail system. To achieve this goal, 37 station hail data were clustered and three main clusters were obtained representing hail days; Each of the clusters has been plotted and analyzed in terms of geopotential height of 500 hPa, moisture level of 700, and map of 1000 to 500 hPa of temperature and omega. The results of the study of hail patterns show; A low-altitude system is essential in the Middle East; To direct hot and humid air from the southern offerings to the region; At the same time, it is necessary to have high instability and weak static stability in the atmosphere on the surface of the earth, as well as the presence of sufficient moisture that can provide showers. Hierarchical analysis (AHP) method was used for location in GIS environment and parameters such as (slope, slope direction, temperature, humidity ...) were evaluated. These criteria were classified as operating maps, each separately and were scored according to the degree of priority in establishing the device. The final map shows the location of the system: Parts of the northwest of the region (Mansour Aghaei and Ghori Qaleh) and northeast of the central part of Ravansar and parts of the southwest of the area due to the appropriate geographical conditions and appropriate to them, sufficient temperature and humidity and the direction of the southwest slope, and having Favorable conditions for severe instability followed by hail; Anti-hail system is very important for construction in these areas. In general, about 32.6 square kilometers have relatively favorable conditions and about 3 square kilometers have very favorable conditions for the construction of the system.
Nahid Bagheri, Mohammad Mohammad, Ezatollah Mafi,
Volume 0, Issue 0 (3-2007)
Abstract
From the time of human life until now, disasters have had a negative impact on human life; In response, individuals and communities are trying to mitigate the consequences of these disasters and establish scales to assess the initial effects; Also respond to the post-disaster needs and return to baseline. To address these challenges and, as a result, improve the quality of life in cities and metropolises, the need for long-term planning and decision-making in solving these problems is more necessary than ever. Therefore, dealing with new urban theories, each with the aim of solving urban problems, improving the quality and quantity of life of citizens in cities, improving the quality of the city environment, city management, advancing the city to become more desirable, and so on. , Is more important than ever. In recent decades, to solve these challenges and reduce its effects on metropolises and large cities, various solutions and perspectives have been proposed, one of which is to pay attention to the concept of resilient city. The present study is descriptive. - It is analytical and practical in terms of purpose. The statistical population of this study consisted of experts and professors familiar with the topics of the city. 35 university professors and experts in the field of research determined the sample size intended to complete the questionnaire. The results of this study showed that the criterion of physical characteristics of tissue with the highest D-R value (0.672) is at the top of the chart and shows that this criterion is the most effective criterion. Also, based on the calculated D + R value, the building quality criterion is the most important criterion. Also, the urban infrastructure criterion was considered as the most influential criterion due to the fact that it has the lowest D-R value.
Dr Hassan Kharajpour, Dr Zahra Hejazizadeh, Dr Bohloul Alijani, Dr Mohammad Hossein Nasserzadeh,
Volume 0, Issue 0 (3-2007)
Abstract
Considering the undeniable impact of agricultural plants on climatic and regional changes, it seems necessary to conduct regional research to understand the reaction of each agricultural plant in different stages of growth in relation to weather elements. If the temperature of the air along with the warm cloud is lower or higher than a certain threshold, its development will stop. Between the two limits, there is an optimal temperature where the plant grows the fastest. Temperature and clouds are both the most important climatic elements in agriculture. Both climatic parameters together cause stress in wheat and lower the productivity of the product. Considering the strategic nature of wheat, in order to increase the level of production, in the present research, while taking advantage of the experiences and methods and models used in foreign and domestic researches, it was practical in Kermanshah province due to the extent of the land under wheat cultivation and The significant amount of production, which has a special place in this field at the level of the country, the determination of the statistical threshold and the synoptic analysis of warem cloud temperatures on the performance of the wheat crop are investigated. According to the investigations and consultations with agricultural engineers, the maximum temperature along with cloudy days causes the phenomenon of greenhouse and excessive heat, which causes the fall of flowers, rot, sterility of pollen grains, fruit reduction, Premature aging and poverty become seeds, and this phenomenon occurs mostly in the months of May and June.
Mahnaz Sadeghi, Zahra Haejazi Zade, Mohhamad Saligeh,
Volume 0, Issue 0 (3-2007)
Abstract
The purpose of this study is to increase awareness and flexibility towards climate change and its effects on the environment through education. In the first step, to achieve the reproduction of climatic data and compare the scenarios of the general circulation model of the atmosphere, three important climatic parameters including precipitation, minimum temperature and maximum temperature were used and also SDSM software was used to predict the data. In this study, two stations of Zabol and Chabahar were used during the statistical period of 1961-2005. Three scenarios of RCP2.6, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 in the period 2020-2050 were used to compare the results of the CanESM2 general circulation model, which is mentioned in the fifth IPCC report. The results of CanESM2 model showed that the minimum and maximum temperature and precipitation in the studied stations will have an increasing and decreasing trend in the future, respectively, in other words, the effects of climate change will be more obvious. In the second step, a questionnaire was distributed to teachers and students in Zabol and Chabahar in the education department; The results of validation of Cronbach's alpha test indicate that this questionnaire had good validity and reliability. The selection of the statistical population was purposeful; That is, from all the related schools, schools were purposefully selected at the discretion of the professors and were also evaluated and questioned. Analysis of the results of questionnaires related to teachers and students showed that the research hypothesis was confirmed according to T-Test.
Fardin Kooshki, Hamidreza Varesi,
Volume 0, Issue 0 (3-2007)
Abstract
از مسائل مهم حاکم بر مدیریت و برنامهریزی شهرهای ما، نگرش فرم محور است؛ یعنی می خواهند مسائل شهرها را عمدتاً از طریق تغییرات کالبدی حل کنند و در مطالعات خود بر ویژگی های فیزیکی تاکید دارند. در مقابل این نگرش، دیدگاه فرایند محور قرار دارد که سعی می کند فرایندها را بیشتر مورد تحلیل قرار دهد زیرا این فرایندها هستند که فرم ها را به وجود می آورند. هدف پژوهش این است که بر روی فرایندها و علل در محلات تاریخی شهر اصفهان تاکید شود و نگرش فرایند محور به عنوان حلقه مفقوده برنامهریزی شهرهای ما مورد توجه ویژه خواهد بود. پژوهش حاضر به روش ترکیبی انجام شده است تا از این طریق از مزایای هر دو روش کیفی و کمی بهره گیریم. در روش تحقیق کیفی، داده ها از روشهای مصاحبه، مشاهده و مطالعات کتابخانه ای جمعآوری شده است و در روش تحقیق کمی از آزمون تی تک نمونهای استفاده شده است. نتایج پژوهش نشان می دهد فرایندهای جغرافیایی موثر در شکل گیری فرمها در محلات تاریخی شهر اصفهان عبارتند از: «وجود حیاط مرکزی در مساکن»، «امکان ارتباط با عناصر طبیعی مانند درخت، آب و نور طبیعی»، «امکان تماشای آیات الهی مانند آسمان، خورشید، ماه و ستارگان»، «اهمیت منابع آبی مانند زاینده رود، قنات و مادی ها در آفرینش فضاها»، «هماهنگی با اقلیم گرم و خشک»، «اهمیت باغ های خصوصی و خانگی» و «رعایت حریم عناصر طبیعی مانند حریم چاه، قنات، مادی و غیره». از میان فرایندهای مورد مطالعه نیز «اهمیت منابع آبی مانند زاینده رود، قنات و مادی ها در آفرینش فضاها» با میانگین 4 بیشترین میانگین را به خود اختصاص داده و مهم ترین فرایند موثر در شکل گیری فرم ها در محلات تاریخی شهر اصفهان می باشد.
Dr Habibollah Fasihi, Dr Taher Parizadi, Mrs Nahid Noori,
Volume 0, Issue 0 (3-2007)
Abstract
Among the many kinds of natural hazards, earthquake is one of the rare events that human science has not yet been able to control or even predict. Physical structure conditions of human settlements play an important role in vulnerability to this natural disaster. The purpose of this article is to investigate natural and physical characteristics of Kuhdasht in terms of earthquake vulnerability. The city with a population of 90,000 and an area of about 540 ha, locates in the west of Lorestan province, Iran. The data are provided from GIS file of 2016 Iranian Public Census of Population and Housing, GIS files of Kuhdasht land use and GIS files of Iran faults and lithology. A few layers have been added to these files through observation. It is used Arc-Map 10-8 to combine layers and produce maps. Then we used Excel software to do statistical analysis on data tables. Findings showed that the site of study area locates in a middle risk zone of earthquakes, but its close distance to active faults can be a warning for occurring destructive earthquakes. High proportion of non-resistant buildings, high density of buildings in some parts of the city and the presence of two gas stations in the middle of residential buildings, are the most important components of Kuhdasht vulnerability. In contrast, plenty of open spaces, high proportion of non-apartment houses, low population density and permeability of passages are important strengths in this regard. The central part of the city from which the city originated, is more vulnerable than the other parts. Due to the existence of the trade centers here, it is necessary to pay more attention to in future plans.
Farzaneh Sasanpour, , ,
Volume 0, Issue 0 (3-2007)
Abstract
The metropolis of Tehran has developed on the basis of modern urbanization and in the last decade, it has witnessed transformations such as the reduction of the biological capacity of the region, uncontrollable socio-economic effects, exorbitant costs in the direction of health protection and also the treatment of the diseases that have arisen. is the aim of the research being to analyze the effects of carbon footprint on the sustainability of Tehran metropolis. The current research is applied and descriptive-analytical in terms of research method. Library and field method (questionnaire) was used to collect information. The statistical population of this study is Tehran metropolis with a population of 8,693,706 people, and Cochran's formula was used to select the sample, and 384 people were determined and completed by simple random sampling. Information processing was done with SPSS software, and the results of the questionnaire were analyzed with structural equation method and PLS software. The findings of the research showed that the situation of the carbon index in Tehran is in an unfavorable situation. The highest factor loading or standardized regression coefficient for the low-carbon planning index and the lowest for the low-carbon society index is 0.218. Also, it was found that low-carbon planning had the greatest impact on carbon reduction in Tehran metropolis. After that, the indicators of low-carbon urban development, low-carbon environment, low-carbon economy, low-carbon transportation, low-carbon construction and low-carbon society in the reduction of carbon in the city of Tehran respectively have There were different effects.
Key words: carbon footprint, sustainability, sustainable development, Tehran metropolis.
D.r Morad Kavianirad, D.r Asiyeh Sephvand,
Volume 0, Issue 0 (3-2007)
Abstract
The water transfer of Lorestan province to desert areas, mismanagement of water resources, lowering of underground water level and reduction of surface water have created many hydropolitical challenges in this province and Lorestan is facing hydropolitical challenges in its basins. He has built a river in front of him. Identifying these challenges now and in the future can prevent future problems and crises. In the current research, the aim is to analyze the hydropolitical challenges of the river basins of Lorestan province using the future research approach. The current research is applied in terms of purpose and mixed method (quantitative and qualitative). The statistical community was experts/experts in water, economic, political issues and geographic and social science researchers. Using the non-probability sampling method, 30 experts were selected by targeted sound and theoretical saturation. To collect the data, the questionnaire of mutual effects of future research was used. Structural model and MICMAC software were used to analyze the data. The results of the research showed the forced migration of young people to industrial and desert areas (+23), the creation of conflicts in virtual networks regarding water resources and its transfer (+23), the decrease in the production of products due to water scarcity (+15), the increase Conflict between individuals and water exploiting groups (farmers, government, industry) (+13), occurrence of local and ethnic conflict and strife over water resources (+13), decrease in political security (+13), imbalance in the protection of The environment (+11) and the quantitative and qualitative decline of surface and underground water resources (+6) are the most important hydropolitical challenges of the river basins of Lorestan province. In line with the research, suggestions were given for the current research and future research. The enlightenment of this research, unlike previous studies, is the identification of hydropolitical challenges from the perspective of river basins and the future research approach.
Sara Kiani, Raziyeh Lak, Babak Najafi Ha, Ali Ahmad Abadi, Zahra Haftani,
Volume 0, Issue 0 (3-2007)
Abstract
Gorgan Bay is considered a geological landscape and a coastal sedimentary environment in the southeast of the Caspian Sea. The hydrodynamics of the coasts of this region is subject to the general hydrodynamics of the Caspian Sea. Due to the low slope topography of these beaches, the slightest change in the sea level will lead to hundreds of meters from place to place in the coastline of this area. Changes in the water level of the Caspian Sea is an environmental and coastal management problem, and today the decreasing trend of the water level of the Caspian Sea during the last few decades has caused destructive effects such as land formation on the coasts of Gorgan Bay. In order to investigate the effect of changes in the level of the Caspian Sea on the southern shores of Gorgan Bay in a period of 66 years, existing reports and studies have been used and field surveys have been used, and the coastlines of the studied area have been monitored through the processing of aerial photos from 1955 and Landsat satellite images. MSS, TM, ETM and +ETM have been carried out in the years 1975-2021 in Arc GIS and ENVI software. Coastal changes were processed during 4 periods. During this period, the level of the Caspian Sea water level fluctuated between -26.5 and -28.7 . Based on the results obtained from satellite images and field visits of Gorgan Bay, 1 stage of water level increase in the period of 1995-1985 by the amount of 131 square kilometers and 3 stages of water level decrease in the years 1955, 1985-1975 and 2021-1995 by the amount of It has covered 246 square kilometers.
Mr Hossein Amraei, Ph. D Hossein Rabiee, Mr Esmaeil Dehghan, Ph. D Zakeyeh Aftabi,
Volume 0, Issue 0 (3-2007)
Abstract
Qarabagh region and consequently Zangzor Corridor is of special importance for Iran due to its geopolitical and geoeconomic capabilities. This practical article is devoted to the explanation of the future scenarios for Iran caused by the Zangzor Corridor. The methodology governing the research is descriptive and analytical. The required data has been collected by library and field methods and analyzed using Micmac and Scenario Wizard software. The results of the research showed six variables: Israel's presence in the Karabakh region, the location of the Karabakh region in the orbit of the US and the West, Iran's gas export, especially to Turkey, Iran's territorial integrity (especially the Turkic provinces), Iran's transit role in international transportation, and Iran's geopolitical position. They were chosen as the key influencing variables of Zangzor Corridor on Iran. In this regard; The possible situations related to six scenarios with strong compatibility showed: the situations that describe the scenarios facing Iran as critical due to the impact of the Zangzor Corridor, include the most possible possible situations. On this basis, the scenario of geopolitical collapse was formulated and it was concluded that the future of Iran's security in the Caucasus depends on its ability to create an effective strategy for managing challenges and exploiting opportunities. Only by strengthening regional cooperation and adopting prudent policies, Iran can take steps to protect its national interests and ensure stable security in this region
Mehdi Feyzolahpour, Neda Kanani,
Volume 0, Issue 0 (3-2007)
Abstract
“Desertification is a form of land degradation in arid, semi-arid, and semi-humid regions caused by climate change and human activities. The purpose of this research is to investigate the desertification situation in the Sirjan Plain region in the period from 1990 to 2023. Desertification in this area threatens human settlements. The purpose of this research is to combine several indicators to evaluate the state of desertification, and for this purpose, several spectral indicators are combined with each other to select the best indicator. In this research, based on albedo, MSAVI and SFI indices, desertification monitoring index (DMI) was proposed and the spatial and temporal distribution of desertification in the west of Sirjan was estimated in 1990 and 2023. To classify the results obtained from the DMI index, Jenks classification methods and quantitative index were used. Based on the results of the Jenks index, it was observed that the areas with very low desertification in 1990 were about 59.7 square kilometers, which decreased to 127.5 square kilometers in 2023, and 47.68 percent of the area has desertification. It has been very little. Areas with high desertification have faced a significant change and have reached 118.6 square kilometers in 2023 from 465.7 square kilometers in 1990. The results showed that Jenks classification method has a higher ability than the quantitative index with an overall accuracy of 82% and a Kappa coefficient of 0.86 in 1990. Finally, it was observed that the albedo index had the highest positive correlation compared to the DMI index. So that the correlation between these two indicators in 1990 and 2023 was estimated at 0.71 and 0.82, respectively.
Afshin Karami,
Volume 0, Issue 0 (3-2007)
Abstract
In centralized political systems, the government-municipality or government-local governance relationship follows a hierarchical structure, where the independence of municipalities is overshadowed by their financial dependence on the government or state-affiliated organizations. In Ahvaz, the metropolitan area under study in this research, in addition to this type of governmental dependence, urban management may be subject to another form of financial dependency. The prominent presence of companies and industries operating at regional and supra-regional scales – such as Khuzestan Steel Company, petrochemical industries, the National Iranian Oil Company, and its affiliated organizations in Ahvaz and Khuzestan region – and their interactions with urban management can significantly influence municipal performance. This research seeks to examine the political-economic effects of regionally and nationally scaled companies and organizations on spatial-political management and urban governance. In other words, it aims to answer the question: To what extent can the financial dependence of urban management on one or more national/regional companies affect the optimal performance of municipalities? This study employs the policy network model as its research framework. The policy network was visualized using Gephi software, followed by network analysis. The research findings indicate that the political economy of these corporations' presence can be summarized in two dimensions: a) Positive economic impacts b) Urban management challenges.
Miss Fatemeh Salehi Janati, Dr Hamid Saberi, Dr Shirin Toghyani, Dr Hojat Mahkouei,
Volume 0, Issue 0 (3-2007)
Abstract
Tactical urban planning, which depends upon quick and participatory interventions within small-scale areas, creates a platform for citizen creativity and, by reinforcing neighborhood resilience, redefines models of urban sustainability. This study aims to provide a systematic and comprehensive overview of the composition and research trends within the area of tactical urban planning from a bibliometric perspective. Based on data from 764 papers listed in the Web of Science database between 2000 and 2025 and utilizing VOSviewer software, three bibliometric maps (network, temporal, and density) were created and analyzed. The findings indicated that tactical urban planning, as an innovative and participatory strategy, occupies the center of the theoretical network of urban planning and urbanism scholarship, with deep connections to concepts such as public space, urban policy, and innovation. The temporal trends of papers indicate a significant increase in concern with issues such as participatory design, smart urbanization, and urban resilience in recent years. Moreover, the density map indicated that priority of investigations is assigned to the axes of tactical urban planning interaction with sustainable development, and citizen involvement. Identifying thematic clusters, scientific collaboration networks, and knowledge gaps, this article provides an overall view of the existing status and further research directions within the area. Researchers and urban policymakers can use it to improve urban quality of life and promote sustainable development.
Dr Marjan Badiee Azandahi, Mr Ehsan Motaghian,
Volume 0, Issue 0 (3-2007)
Abstract
In recent decades, advancements in artificial intelligence (AI) technology and its expanding applications in human life have brought about extensive transformations across various sectors, particularly in the economic sphere. This has significantly heightened the importance of developing this technology for major global powers. Mineral resources serve as the essential raw materials for manufacturing AI-related hardware; consequently, access to these resources is crucial for nations and companies active in this field. Within the geopolitical competition to acquire these mineral resources, the means of controlling and accessing them can be utilized as leverage to exert pressure and impose restrictions on the development of AI technologies. Consequently, countries possessing these resources are pursuing stockpiling and even exploiting resources from other nations to not only increase their own influence and control but also to secure their future access to these materials.
This study is applied research conducted using a descriptive-analytical method. The main research questions are: What role do mineral resources play in the development of AI technology, and how does the geopolitical competition among great powers for acquiring these resources unfold? Based on the research findings, mineral resources, as critical raw materials for manufacturing equipment and a source of capital, significantly impact the production of AI technology hardware. The competition among great powers for these mineral resources often manifests through strategies such as stockpiling, price manipulation, and resource processing. The results indicate that access to, control over, and supervision of the mineral mines used in AI hardware production enable major powers like the United States and China not only to influence the global trajectory of this technology's development and utilization but also to prevent the entry of rival actors into this arena or diminish their potential role.
Hadith Asemani Kenari, Aliakbar Jafari,
Volume 0, Issue 0 (3-2007)
Abstract
The South Caucasus is a semi-mountainous region located between the Caspian and Black Seas which has always enjoyed a geopolitical and geostrategic position throughout history. The conflicts between the Republic of Azerbaijan and Armenia in the South Caucasus, which led to remove the seizure of the disputed territory of Karabakh by the Republic of Azerbaijan, have made it difficult to reach a lasting peace in the South Caucasus due to some fundamental differences such as how to access Nakhchivan region. The Republic of Azerbaijan wants unhindered extraterritorial access, which Armenia and Iran strongly oppose due to the severance of land communication between the two countries and the creation of a geopolitical bottleneck. Given the importance of the South Caucasus and the impressionability of Iranian policies from any geopolitical changes and developments in the region, the present study, using a descriptive-analytical method, seeks to answer the question: "What strategies has the Iranian foreign policy apparatus adopted since the beginning of the conflicts to manage the post-Karabakh war developments in order to prevent any border changes and becoming it into a lasting geopolitical bottleneck?" The result of research show that the foreign policy of the Islamic Republic of Iran has been a combination of declaring a firm position in oppositing to any border changes and while avoiding tension and increasing cooperation in order to prevent any change in the geopolitical situation to the detriment of Iran's interests, especially in the North-South Corridor. These policies have been pursued at various economic, military, and political levels in interactions with the Republic of Azerbaijan and Armenia.
Gholamreza Barati, Isaa Dehghan,
Volume 0, Issue 0 (3-2007)
Abstract
The Siberian High-pressure (HP) has various effects on Iran’s climate. Climate warming, especially in the last century, has raised the possibility of changes in the Outbreaks of the Siberian High-pressure extending toward Iran (OSH). In this study, to test the mentioned hypothesis, daily sea level pressure maps for 50 years (1972 to 2021) during the month in which the SH appeared more strongly in the monthly composite maps were downloaded from the NCEP/NCAR atmospheric data reanalysis database. The selection of this month was based on the highest central pressure intensity of the high (intensity index) and its greatest spatial extent (spatial index) compared to the other six months. The axes of the OSHs extending toward Iran were classified into four categories: “continuous and reaching,” “continuous and non-reaching,” “discontinuous and reaching,” and “discontinuous and non-reaching.” The design of their synoptic patterns showed a clear decrease in the frequency of “continuous and reaching” OSHs. Continuity refers to the directness of the OSH, and a reaching OSH is one that extends to the borders of Iran or penetrates into the country. Using two criteria— “the integrated advance of cold and dry air from the high-pressure center toward Iran” and “verification of the OSH entering or reaching Iran’s borders”—it was found that cold and dry air travels from Central Asia toward Iran through three main pathways: 1. The pathway of cold and dry air transfer from the western slopes of the Altai Mountains, then across the Turan Plain, and finally into central Iran. 2. The pathway of air transfer from the Dzungarian Plain in western China, then along the Tian Shan Mountains, through Afghanistan, and finally into the north of Sistan-va-Baloochestan Province. 3. The pathway of air transfer from the Kazakh steppes, through the Caucasus corridor (west of the Caspian Sea), reaching Azerbaijan, and extending along the Zagros Mountains. The frequency of OSHs has indicated a decline in five separated decades along all three pathways during the past half century. This decrease is more evident in the third pathway, namely the Caucasus corridor, which already had a lower frequency from the beginning.
Phd Student Farahnaz Khoramabadi, Master Seyyed Abolfazl Masoudian, Assistant Professor Mohammad Sadeq Keykhosravi Kiani,
Volume 0, Issue 0 (3-2007)
Abstract
Global warming is one of the most challenging climatic phenomena of the current era, accompanied by a rise in the average temperature of the Earth's oceans and land over the past few decades. This study provides a comprehensive analysis of the temporal and spatial changes in Iran's maximum temperature over the last four decades, using ERA5 reanalysis data.
Daily maximum temperature data was extracted from ERA5 products in HDF5 file format and processed using the Python programming language. For data analysis, Principal Component Analysis (PCA) was used for dimensionality reduction, and Ward's clustering method was employed to determine homogeneous climatic regions based on the similarity of weather elements. The long-term mean maximum temperature for the country during this period was estimated at 24.2∘C, with a range of variation from −0.4∘C to 53.7∘C. The results from smoothing the data's time series showed a significant temperature jump around the year 1998, which led to an increase in the mean maximum temperature from 23∘C to 25∘C. In the spatial dimension, the maximum temperature was directly influenced by topography, altitude, and latitude. The southern and southeastern regions were identified as the warmest, while the high-altitude areas of the west, north, and northeast were the coolest. The results of the PCA showed that the first two components explained more than 78% of the spatial variance and 93% of the temporal variance, respectively. This indicates the existence of consistent and interpretable climatic patterns. Additionally, the Ward's clustering analysis, which divided the data into five distinct clusters, reflected the diversity of temporal behavior of the maximum temperature across the country.
Subhanullah Subhani, Reza Shahbaznejad, Seyed Ali Monavari,
Volume 0, Issue 0 (3-2007)
Abstract
Due to its geopolitical position, Afghanistan has always been at the center of competition among global powers. Following the withdrawal of U.S. forces in 2021, the country has become a battleground for rivalry among China, Russia, the United States, Iran, India, and Pakistan. Using the theories of Balance of Power and Mackinder’s Heartland Theory, this study examines the role of these rivalries in Afghanistan’s security, economic, and political developments. The research seeks to answer the question: how have geopolitical rivalries among global powers affected Afghanistan’s security, politics, and economy after the withdrawal of U.S. forces in 2021?
Geopolitical competition among global powers (China, Russia, the United States, Iran, India, and Pakistan) has led to increased economic dependency, intensified proxy rivalries, and greater complexity in Afghanistan’s domestic politics, becoming a major obstacle to sustainable stability in the post-2021 period. China, through large-scale investments and the inclusion of Afghanistan in the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), seeks to strengthen its economic influence and secure its strategic interests. Russia emphasizes security aspects and counterterrorism measures and maintains a cautious relationship with the Taliban. In contrast, the United States aims to prevent further empowerment of the Taliban and the growing influence of China and Russia through economic sanctions, diplomatic pressure, and cooperation with regional actors. Meanwhile, Iran, India, and Pakistan pursue different objectives in Afghanistan, further complicating regional interactions.
The findings of this research reveal that global power rivalries have increased Afghanistan’s economic dependency, intensified proxy conflicts, and created new challenges within the Taliban’s domestic political structure.
Narjessadat Hosseini Nasrabadi,
Volume 0, Issue 0 (3-2007)
Abstract
Given the central position of cities in the spatial hierarchy of power, identifying the fundamental factors influencing their formation, development, and sustainability is a necessity of contemporary political geography. In this context, "climate" is not merely an environmental variable but a decisive geopolitical factor in the spatial organization of cities. This research, aiming to theorize in the field of urban political geography, employs a situated grounded theory method. Using a combined strategy that includes systematic documentary studies and field data, it discovers and explains patterns of urban spatial organization in interaction with climatic components. The three-stage coding process has led to the extraction of basic concepts, core categories, and finally the climate-based city paradigm. The outcome of this research is the presentation of a new conceptual framework that can serve as a basis for future urban planning and elucidate the role of climatic components in urban typology, spatial planning, and the formulation of urban development policies. The findings confirm that climate has a direct effect not only on the physical form (e.g., the architectural pattern of Yazd's windcatchers) and functional aspects of the city, but also on macro-political strategies (e.g., patterns of climate-induced migration) and development planning (e.g., green building standards). Accordingly, this article argues that future cities will redefine their components of power and competitive advantage based on indicators such as water security, climate resilience, and access to clean energy. Consequently, the "climate-based city" theory, as a novel conceptual framework, can open a new frontier in the scientific literature of urban political geography and spatial planning, and map the geopolitical landscape of twenty-first-century cities