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Volume 16, Issue 41 (6-2016)
Abstract

The KabirKooh landslide was studied as one of the immediate catastrophic events which causes falling rocks from the KabirKooh hillside and the obstruction of the Seymarreh river course and also formed a lot of geomorphologi­cal shapes in this area. This landslide was located at 5 km of the Poldokhtar city at the south between the Ilam and Lorestan province. The main purpose of this research to provide and analyzie of Morp­hom­­­etric feature of the landslide inclusive, width of the rupture surface (AWT IMAGE), length of the displaced mass (AWT IMAGE), length of the rupturesurface(AWT IMAGE), width of the displaced mass (AWT IMAGE), the depth of the rupture surface (AWT IMAGE), the depth of the displaced mass to it will be discussed (AWT IMAGE),(AWT IMAGE/AWT IMAGE),(AWT IMAGE/AWT IMAGE), (AWT IMAGE/AWT IMAGE) and volume. For this work by using by using Global mapper11 software, to be conform the topographic area maps in the scale of 1/50000 and the digital elevation model. Arc Gis 9.3 and Surfer 10 software was used for preparing and producing new data and information. Considering the analyse of this indexs is, AWT IMAGE: equal to 15/5 AWT IMAGE,AWT IMAGE: 16/06AWT IMAGE, AWT IMAGE:15.5AWT IMAGE,AWT IMAGE: 300 M,AWT IMAGE: 300 M, AWT IMAGE/AWT IMAGE:0.50, AWT IMAGE/AWT IMAGE:51.67, AWT IMAGE/AWT IMAGE:26.03 and volume 3908200970 AWT IMAGE.



Volume 16, Issue 41 (6-2016)
Abstract

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Volume 16, Issue 41 (6-2016)
Abstract


Majid Yasoori, Sideh Fatemeh Emami, Maryam Sejodi,
Volume 16, Issue 41 (6-2016)
Abstract

The above research evaluates the access and use of rural services of the villages in the province of Gilan, as examples of reducing inequalities and increasing the development. The method used in this article is applicable in terms of target, and cross-sectional in tems of identity. To do this research, morris model, indexing method, standardization and dividing by average are used. After comparing the villages of the province in terms of rural services, the obtained outcome indicates that accomplished results and ranking are in high agreement, so that in all models, villages of Saravan, Kelishami and Gol Sefid have the most access to facilities and services and mountain villages of Talesh, Shuil and Eshkevar Olia are the most deprived villages in rural facilities and services, respectively. Based on studied indicators, the distance between deprived and wealthy villages flactuates from 2 to 10 times. This situation reflects the gross spatial inequality of having advantage of facilities and services in the villages of province Gilan.


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Volume 16, Issue 41 (6-2016)
Abstract

Rapid urban development in social, economical, cultural, political and environmental aspects, has affected the human life in recent decades. Introducing the sustainable development as the main theme of the third millennium is the result of urban impact on the biosphere and the range of different aspects of human life too. Concentration on differences in dimensions and indicators of sustainable development in one place and having them compared to other places can use fal for planners to realize the development potential and weaknesses. In theme lines, Boroujerd city have been studied as one of the median cities in the West of Iran to assess the indicators of sustainable development. The purpose of this study is to assess indicators of sustainable urban development in Boroujerd town, compared with Iran urban centers. In this study, methodology, is cognitive in terms of objective, and is comparative- analytical in term of identity and the data collection method is documental studies. To assess the level of development, the concept of sustainable development was classified in four dimensions: social, economical, environmental, physical-institutional and 44 indicators were identified. The data were collected in the Boroujerd city and Iran urban centers. Data were analyzed with sign test in SPSS software. The result has shown that there is no difference between Boroujerd city and Iran urban centers in terms of social and physical-institutional indicators. But, economic and environmental indicators have significant differences. The economic condition is not good but the environmental condition is better. On the other hand, taking into account all indices, the sustainability of Borujerd city, almost is same with Iran situation sustainable.


Javad Bazrafshan, Mehrshad Toulabi Nejad,
Volume 16, Issue 41 (6-2016)
Abstract

The objective study was to investigate the effects of social capital on sustainability security in the villages the border areas. Statistical population including the villages of the central city of Saravan are heads of households (N= 9946). 421 households (23 villages) using Cochran formula and simple random sampling were selected. for the analysis data, descriptive and inferential statistics two methods (single sample t test, Pearson correlation and path analysis) is used. Results the research findings on the impact of social capital in rural sustainable security shows that the greatest impact is related to social security. Memorizing of patterns such a way that increases language, preservation of culture and religion, reducing drug use among youth, reduce the amount of conflict is between the people and so on. the lowest impact related to later economy. findings also show that dimension politico-military security partnership, trust and of cohesion between peoples and cooperation between police forces and and border guard to increase the political participation of the people, ethnic and sectarian narrow the gap, reducing illegal traffic in neighboring countries, increased cooperation with military forces in the fight against bandits and smugglers and maintain security and order is sent.


, , , , ,
Volume 16, Issue 41 (6-2016)
Abstract

Drought phenomenon with different goals including planning, water sources management and dealing with the problems due to water shortage has been investigated by most scholars. This research examined the relationship between drought and the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI)in Qorveh and Dehgolan region in Kurdistan, Iran. To determine years with meteorological drought, index of Standard Z during a 20 year period time (1387-1368) has been applied. The results of the statistical data in Ghorveh station in 2008 with total annual rainfall of 155 mm and Z index of -2.31, in 2000 with total rainfall of 253.1 and Z index of -1.5 and in 2001 with 239.5 rainfall and Z index of -1.22. Were determined as drought indeces. MODIS satellite images were used to assess the ecological drought. Associated with each image to a randomly selected sample of 500 places in the software ERDAS, NDVI values were calculated for these images. satellite image processing results and  Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) indicates a low index values in the years 2000, 2001 and 2008 Were determined as ecological drought years of 2001 samples had the lowest NDVI and central parts of the area under irrigation has almost lost its vegetation.


Yousouf Bahrami, Ghaderymotlagh Iraj, Behroz Oftadeh, Sid Ali Hosieni,
Volume 16, Issue 41 (6-2016)
Abstract

The present study aimed to assess the conformity of Mehr housing projects by Infill development pattern to answer this question: What is the relationship between Mehr housing project in the city of Mahabad with Infill development and with its spatial conditions of the city. The research method in present study in terms of nature is "descriptive – survey" and in terms of purpose "applied" and in terms of collecting data is " field." Statistical society is the whole members of Mahabad Mehr housing that were determined 361 persons as sample by Cochran formula. To data analysis was used the methods of descriptive statistics (frequency, percentage, mean, standard deviation) and inferential statistics (one-sample t-test). The results show that Mehr housing policies in the city of Mahabad not comply with its physical conditions. T-test results in this study showed that Infill development due to the use of the maximum of capacity available space of city, Can be considered as a suitable model and as the basis to guide Mehr housing policy in the city of Mahabad. The results of T-test about the physical factors (t-=1/48; p-value<0/05), socio-cultural factors (t=24/35; p-value 0/05), economic factors (t=13/27; p-value0/05) and environmental factors (t=27/29; p-value0/05) shows that Mehr housing policies in the city of Mahabad comply with socio-cultural factors, economic factors and environmental factors but not comply with its physical conditions.


Mostafa Karimi, Ghasem Azizi, Aliakbar Shamsipour, Lila Rezaee Mahdi,
Volume 16, Issue 41 (6-2016)
Abstract

In this study is simulation of role of topography in thickness and Inland penetration of sea-breeze in southern coast of the Caspian Sea. The RegCM4 as a regional scale climate model coupled with a lake model and also the reanalysis data of NCEP / NCAR used to determine of the initial conditions of the model. The model was run during the peak of sea breeze on the southern coast of the Caspian Sea (July 2002) in both conditions (with mountains) and (without mountains). the outputs indicated that in without topography condition depth of the sea breeze will increase to the current position the southern slopes of the Alborz Mountains ( latitude ᵒ35 ) but the land breeze in the area is gone. The maximum speed and changes in wind direction observed on the coast southeast and central Alborz respectively. In addition with non-topography conditions, the thickness of sea breeze in different areas significantly has increased with the highest rate on the eastern coast (longitude ᵒ53).


Abasali Arvin, Abdolazim Ghangherme, Davar Hajipour, Mehran Hidari,
Volume 16, Issue 41 (6-2016)
Abstract

In this study, by using the Mann-Kendall nonparametric method and Sen' s Estimator slope test, the trend of some elements including  precipitation, average of maximum and minimum temperature and the  number of snowy days Chaharmahal and Bakhtiari Province covers part of Zagros and Zardkohe-Bakhtiari highlands, from which three major rivers including Zayandehrud, Dez and Karun originate. in an annual and monthly scale, was evaluated in  the stations of the province during a period of 30 years (1986-2015). The output was presented in the form of tables, graphs and iso-trend maps as drawn in the Arc_GIS. The results showed that although changes in rainfall did not follow any specific trend in most months of the year, the amount of precipitation in the stations of Koohrang as the rainiest station in the Province, Lordegan and Yan-Cheshme had a decreasing trend at the significance level of 99%; also, the the number of snowy days during March showed a decreasing trend in Koohrang station. However, the average minimum and maximum temperature in most areas of the province, in both monthly and yearly scales, except for the months of November and December, had a significantly increasing trend.


, , ,
Volume 16, Issue 42 (9-2016)
Abstract

In this study is predicted the groundwater level of Sharif Abad catchment using some artificial intelligence models. For this purpose used of monthly groundwater levels for modeling in the three observed wells located in the Sharif Abad watershed of Qom. To compare the results of the hybrid model of wavelet analysis-neural network (WNN), genetic programming (GP) multiple linear regression (MLR) and artificial neural network (ANN), two criteria of root mean squared error (RMSE) and nash-sutcliffe coefficient of efficiency (E) is used. The results of the study indicated that the WNN models provide more accurate monthly groundwater level predicted in compared to the ANN, GP and MLR models so the nash-sutcliffe coefficient in WANN model for piezometers 1, 2 and 3 are 0.98, 0.98 and 0.95, respectively.

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Volume 16, Issue 42 (9-2016)
Abstract

  Temperature alteration plays special role as one of the most basic climate elements. So inspection of temperature alteration and anticipation has scientific- applied magnitude. In this study inspection of several cases of statistical characteristics of monthly­ average, maximum and minimum temperature and illumination of their alteration method­, temperatures predictability by ANFIS is evaluated­. Applied data is over 288 months during 24 years of statistical period since January of 1987 until December of 2010 through synoptic stations of Pars Abad, Ardebil and Khalkhal. According to equations of data lineal process­, lineal process of temperatures through all of the stations is positive and­ additive­. Lineal process gradient in minimum temperature is more than other­ maximum and average temperature. Less amplitude more variance and standard aviation and­­ data ­predictability is more. According to present article adaptive Neuro – fuzzy inference system mostly has acceptable function through anticipation of monthly minimum, maximum and average temperature in the stations of Ardebil province.


, , ,
Volume 16, Issue 42 (9-2016)
Abstract

An AO is an example of teleconnection pattern in the northern hemisphere’s winter. In this study, the effect of AO on the monthly minimum temperatures in the North-East region of Iran is investigated. The required statistics, including statistics monthly minimum temperatures for 17 synoptic stations of the under study area was provided from Iran Meteorological Organization’s (IRMO). Pearson correlation analysis as the main method used in this study Show an inverse relationship between minimum temperatures and most selected stations and AO index.The results of this study shows that there is a significant relationship between the AO teleconnection pattern and minimum temperatures of north-east of Iran during the cold season of the year. This shows decrease of temperature in positive phase of the AO and rise of temperature is negative phase. In terms of time correlation coefficients were calculated showed a significant negative correlation between the temperature of stations and the AO Among the studied stations, the relationship between the minimum and average monthly temperatures in Birjand and Bojnoord station more than other stations, affected by the AO pattern, has been fluctuated and significant correlation coefficients between the minimum and average temperature of Birjand and Bojnoord Stations with AO has been calculated. The effect of Arctic oscillation on mean temperature of the studied area, north-east of Iran, during the three months, January to march, and ,two months, January to February, is very distinctive against any other periods of time.


, ,
Volume 16, Issue 42 (9-2016)
Abstract

This study aimed to evaluate the climatic conditions for the establishment of Borujerd city in the design of buildings and streets of the city with an emphasis on radiant energy, an attempt to reduce problems related to cold climate is that in order to achieve this goal of data synoptic station in the city of Boroujerd a period of 23 years, including temperature, precipitation, relative humidity and other parameters as maximum, minimum and average is used. This study is cross-sectional study and extensive research studies of all documents related to the concept and the; and the method of data collection in the expression of the status quo and in Analysis of the types of library issues Bamtalh documents, and field research. The main tools of analysis in this study include Oleg bioclimatic models, Gioni and computational methods is the law of cosines In this respect, first using data from synoptic weather station borujerd in chart eco building and open spaces and drawing on its,thresholds and thermal requirements of the building inside and outside and then priorities for the design and construction of climate , urban streets is determined;The results showed that , best orientation for settlement building in Borujerd in order to optimize the energy consumption is south- north after15 west.and best orientation for streets plan in Borujerd according the  AS interaction is toward southwest- northeast and after that 60 west in order to avoid permanent ice and snow.

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, , , ,
Volume 16, Issue 42 (9-2016)
Abstract

Guidance plan does with economic, structure, social and cultural attitude in Iran and this plan has high effect on rural life. Therefore it is essential that we study guidance plan base of rural managers and rural councils attitude. Investigative method was descriptive, analysis (survey method) and research tools were questionnaire. Statistical society includes rural managers and rural council members. Sampling method in rural managers was census method and rural council methods were random sampling method. Number of rural managers was 31 and number of rural council members was 103 respondents (in councils with 3 members we select 3 respondents and in rural councils with 5 members we select 3 respondents). Results shows that guidance plan have positive effect on structure of village. But in economic and cultural dimensions, there is no effect on villages. Maps of guidance plan were weak. Respondent believe that there are low satisfaction about guidance plan among rural managers and rural council members. It is important and we must notice to it.  


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Volume 16, Issue 42 (9-2016)
Abstract

In this research, impacts of climate change on the streamflow hydrological status of the Arazkooseh River are discussed. After Calibration and validation of the LARS-WG, HadCM3 was downscaled under A2 Scenario in three climatology station. Beside, calibration and validation of the SWAT model were done by observed data relative to past period of times. Streamflow values are then predicted using climatic parameters of period of 2011-2030, 2046-2065 and 2080-2099 years via SWAT model. The results indicated that the average annual temperature will increased around 0.8, 1.2 and 4.9 °C in desired periods, respectively. Precipitation values will increased 8.8 and 11.2 percent in the early and mid- century and it will decreased with 7.8 percent in the last years of century, correspondingly. The peak of rainfall will moved from month of March to the December. Because of climate changes, streamflow will increase 13 and 5 percent in the near periods. By contrast, in this case, it will reduce around 18 percent in far future. In this case research, the river discharge will increased in autumn and will decreased in spring seasons. Likewise, results of estimation showed that the annual peak flow will shifted from month of March to the April.


, , , ,
Volume 16, Issue 42 (9-2016)
Abstract

In Iran the issue of occurring natural disasters, particularly mesoscale convective systems. They are important on one hand, because of their increasing intimidations and causing damages and on the other hand, because of their increasing abundance, time of duration, and happening. Therefore life cycle, constituton condition and mesoscale convective systems features in west of Iran using satellite and extention area index and thresholds of brightness temperature 221 and 243 K have been studied. After their statistic analysis, based on mesoscale convective system importance, life and daily cycle, behavior parameters, and synoptic conditions of this system life cycle were analysed. Most of the systems have been formed in southeastern Iraq and in western Zagros hillsides. Wile puberty stages (the maturity) and their expandings were increased with the height increase; in turn, declining of the systems began by passing Zagros chain mountains. The system extention area at the system life cycle starting increases with a smooth process; whereas the reduction process of the system extention area at the declining stage was severe and sudden.


, ,
Volume 16, Issue 42 (9-2016)
Abstract

There are numerous methods to estimate missing values of which some are used depending on the data type and regional climatic characteristics. In this research, part of the monthly precipitation data in Sarab synoptic station, east Azerbaijan province, Iran was randomly considered missing values. In order to study the effectiveness of various methods to estimate missing data, by seven classic statistical methods and M5 model tree as one of efficient data mining methods, hypothetical missing values were estimated using precipitation data from neighbor station. The results showed that multiple imputation, Delta Learning Rule, and Multivariable Linear Regression (MLR) yield relatively more accurate results with fewer errors. The results also indicate the fact that, developing if-then rules, M5 tree model, as one of modern data mining methods, has been able to give the most accurate results among the mentioned methods with four simple linear relationship and statistical values including correlation coefficient (0.974), Nash-Sutcliffe model efficiency coefficient (0.948), RMSE (5.11), and MAE (4.189). Therefore, taking simple modeling process, functionality, comprehensibility, and high accuracy of this method into account, this method is proposed to estimate monthly precipitation missing values.


Aghil Madadi, Elnaz Piroozi,
Volume 16, Issue 42 (9-2016)
Abstract

The purpose of this study is erosion and sediment is estimated in whole of Lay watershed, located in the North Wast of Iran.In this study, the model of WEPP, was provided for simulation and forecast of erosion and sedimentation in the study watershed. The data required for WEPP model are entered in six files, including soil file, management, climate, slope, channel and pounds files. In this study, after determining of work units, the information for developing file were collected. In this region there are, 3 types of soil, 2 managements  and 5 channel types. After making the files, WEPP model was run via Geowepp software. It is notable that in this software water erosion and sediment amount was estimated by three methodes of hillslope, watershed and fow path. In these methods sediments estimated were 0.308, 0.215, 0.491 tha-1 y-1, respectively. According to estimated results, the hillslpe with 0.308  tha-1 y-1 was in good agreement with actual amount 0.319 and is suitable for the erosion and sediment of  Lay watershed.


Mohammad Hassan Yazdani, Ali Soltani, Hossein Nazmfar, Mohammad Amin Attar,
Volume 16, Issue 42 (9-2016)
Abstract

Urban segregation has been a problem of many cities of the world. Many researchers have interested in the urban segregation issues. Urban segregation has strongly concentrated poverty and created underclass. Different types of urban segregation exist, including income and racial or ethnical segregation, and depending on the contextual mechanisms within a city. To understand and plan a better community, urban planners needs to know how to measure the segregation and interpret the results. There have been many developments of segregation measures. Some evolved and some remained unchanged. This paper is studied the most used multigroup measures of residential segregation (8 indicators) in Shiraz city and between different socio-economic groups of it by using of the Segregation Analyzer Software. In general, the results show the occurrence of segregation in the medium amount to the high amount and by the calculated values of 0/7177, 0/5785, 0/5474 – 1, 0/5407, 0/3969, 0/3759, 0/3613, 0/3375 in the city of Shiraz. On the other hand, the use of Hot spots Analysis in the study area shows that the greatest concentrations of the socio-economic high group are in almost near the center of Shiraz city and the northwest of city, and for the socio-economic medium group exists in the west of city. Also there is the greatest concentration of the socio-economic low group in the southwest of Shiraz city.



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