Volume 25, Issue 77 (6-2025)                   jgs 2025, 25(77): 0-0 | Back to browse issues page

XML Persian Abstract Print


Download citation:
BibTeX | RIS | EndNote | Medlars | ProCite | Reference Manager | RefWorks
Send citation to:

Jafarloo A, Ghofran M, Nazari S. Macro Issues of Urban and Rural Development and Land Area in the Horizon of Iran 1420 with Strategic Future Approach. jgs 2025; 25 (77)
URL: http://jgs.khu.ac.ir/article-1-4138-en.html
1- MSc of Geography and Urban Planning of booinzahra Payame Noor University , jafarlOO6659@Gmail.com
2- MSc student of geography and rural planning, sistan and baloochestan university, Zahedan
3- MSc student of architecture ,islamic azad university, ardestan, esfahan,Iran
Abstract:   (5267 Views)
Considering the recent challenges of urban and rural areas of the country, in the previous years, urban and rural areas of Iran will face uncertainties and major issues. The purpose of the land and the elimination of the challenges of urban and rural issues in the country in the future requires identifying these issues and planning to fix or decrease its effectiveness. Therefore, in this research, using a futuristic approach that has a qualitative-descriptive approach, the purpose of the research was investigated. To achieve this goal, first, with the use of research literature and library studies as well as the help of 70 experts in various fields, first major issues in urban and rural development and land were identified in the horizon of Iran 1420. Subsequently, with the method of qualitative analysis and experts, the strategic scenarios of the country was presented to resolve the challenges of the country in the 1420 horizon. The results of the study showed that the country's study in the horizon of Iran 1420 with sudden abrupt disorders and increased uncertainty alongside economic, social, political, environmental, demographic, geopolitical, climate change, cyberspace, increase inequalities And there will be no predicted and untreated threats. In this regard, 20 future scenarios were designed and designed to address the macro issues presented in the research, which are designed and designed to challenge current assumptions and important questions for the future of the country. These scenarios show a number of strategic considerations for how to prepare the country to meet the developing needs of urban and rural community in the horizon of the country of 1420 in the face of a very dynamic and uncertain future.
 
     
Type of Study: Research | Subject: Geography and Urban Planning

References
1. حاجی‌نژاد، علی، دادفر، شیما، طولابی‌نژاد، مهرشاد، (1399). سنجش سطح توسعه روستاهای ایران با استفاده از شاخص‌های طبیعی کیفیت زندگی (PQLI)، جغرافیا (نشریه بین‌المللی انجمن جغرافیای ایران)، 18(56)، 96- 119.
2. رکن‌الدین‌افتخاری، عبدالرضا، موسوی، سیدمحمد، پورطاهری، مهدی، فرج‌زاده اصل، منوچهر. (1393)، تحلیل نقش تنوع معیشتی در تاب‌آوری خانوارهای روستایی در شرایط خشکسالی (مطالعه موردی: مناطق در معرض خشکسالی استان اصفهان)، پژوهش‌های روستایی تهران، 5(3)، 636- 662.
3. سیف، علی‌اکبر، (1392)، روانشناسی پرورشی نوین، روانشناسی یادگیری و آموزش، تهران، نشر دوران.
4. طولابی‌نزاد، مهرشاد. (1397). تبیین محرومیت روستایی بر اساس شاخص‌های منطقه‌ای و ارتباط آن با پایداری محیطی (مطالعه موردی: شهرستان پلدختر). راسله دکترای جغرافیا و برنامه‌ریزی روستایی.
5. علی‌الحسابی، مهران، شیخ، ندا، (1399). تبیین چالش های پیش روی شهرهای آینده با بهره گیری از تجارب سینمای علمی تخیلی، نامه معماری و شهرسازی، 13(28): 51- 68.
6. عیدی، اسماء، کاظمیه، فاطمه، ظریفیان، شاپور. (1400). واکاوی عوامل موثر بر نگرش کشاورزان نسبت به مدیریت پایدار منابع آب کشاورزی (مطالعه موردی گندمکاران روستاهای شهرستان مراغه). دانش کشاورزی و تولید پایدار، 31(2)، 361- 375.
7. ولی زاده، ناصر، بیژنی، مسعود. (1395). کاربرد نظریه‌ نیازهای مازلو در تحلیل نگرش زیبایی‌‌شناسی محیط‌ زیستی روستاییان شهرستان میاندوآب. علوم ترویج و آموزش کشاورزی، 12(2)، 73-78.
8. Ahituv, A. and J. Zeira (2011), "Technical Progress and Early Retirement", Economic Journal, Vol. 121/551, pp. 171-193. [DOI:10.1111/j.1468-0297.2010.02392.x]
9. Aho, S. (2018), "Targeting of job-seeker services and the later employment of participants (in Finnish)", Publication of the government's analysis, assessment and research activities, No. 19/2018, Prime Minister's Office, Helsinki.
10. Andrews, D., G. Nicoletti and C. Timiliotis (2018), "Digital technology diffusion: A matter of capabilities, incentives or both?", OECD Economics Department Working Papers, No. 1476, OECD Publishing, Paris, https://dx.doi.org/10.1787/7c542c16-en. [DOI:10.1787/7c542c16-en] [PMID]
11. Castro, B. (2019), The shifting limits of drought adaptation in rural Colombia, Current Directions in Water Scarcity Research, 2: 77-86. [DOI:10.1016/B978-0-12-814820-4.00006-7]
12. Cheng, M. M., Humphreys, K. A., & Zhang, Y. Y. (2018). The interplay between strategic risk profiles and presentation format on managers' strategic judgments using the balanced scorecard. Accounting, Organizations and Society, 70, 92-105. [DOI:10.1016/j.aos.2018.05.009]
13. Cohen, J. (2021), "How soon will COVID-19 vaccines return life to normal?" Science, http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/srcience.abh0618.
14. Cohen, M. J., & Garrett, J. L. (2010). The food price crisis and urban food (in) security. Environment and Urbanization, 22(2), 467-482. [DOI:10.1177/0956247810380375]
15. Crouzet, N. and J. Eberly (2018), "Intangibles, Investment, and Efficiency", AEA Papers and Proceedings, Vol. 108, pp. 426-31, http://dx.doi.org/10.1257/pandp.20181007. [DOI:10.1257/pandp.20181007]
16. Cutter, S. L. Ash, K. D. and Christopher T. E. (2016), Urban-Rural Differences in Disaster Resilience, Annals of the American Association of Geographers, 106(6): 1236-125. [DOI:10.1080/24694452.2016.1194740]
17. Friend, R., & Thinphanga, P. (2018). Urban water crises under future uncertainties: the case of institutional and infrastructure complexity in Khon Kaen, Thailand. Sustainability, 10(11), 3921. [DOI:10.3390/su10113921]
18. Fu, M,. Exeter. D. J, and Anderson, A. (2015). The politics of relative deprivation: A transdisciplinary social justice perspective, Social Science and Medicine, 133: 223- 232. [DOI:10.1016/j.socscimed.2014.12.024] [PMID]
19. Galani-Moutafi. V, (2013), Rural space (re)produced e Practices, performances and visions (A case study from an Aegean island), Journal of Rural Studies, Volume 32, Issue 4, pp 103-113. [DOI:10.1016/j.jrurstud.2013.04.007]
20. Geissler, C., & Krys, C. (2013). The challenges of strategic management in the twenty-first century. In scenario-based strategic planning (pp. 21-41). Springer Gabler, Wiesbaden. [DOI:10.1007/978-3-658-02875-6_2]
21. Habiba, U. Shaw, R. and Takeuchi, Y. (2012), Farmer's perception and adaptation practices to cope with drought: Perspectives from Northwestern Bangladesh, International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 3(1), 72-84. [DOI:10.1016/j.ijdrr.2012.05.004]
22. Hall, P., & Pfeiffer, U. (2013). Urban future 21: a global agenda for twenty-first century cities. Routledge. [DOI:10.4324/9781315011523]
23. Hardoy, J. E., & Satterthwaite, D. (2019). Urban change in the Third World: are recent trends a useful pointer to the urban future? 1. In The Living City (pp. 75-110). Routledge. [DOI:10.4324/9780429197307-5]
24. Hölscher, K., & Frantzeskaki, N. (2021). Perspectives on urban transformation research: transformations in, of, and by cities. Urban Transformations, 3(1), 1-14. [DOI:10.1186/s42854-021-00019-z]
25. Hynes, W., Trump, B., Love, P., & Linkov, I. (2020). Bouncing forward: a resilience approach to dealing with COVID-19 and future systemic shocks. Environment Systems and Decisions, 40, 174-184. [DOI:10.1007/s10669-020-09776-x] [PMID] []
26. Kaplan, S. and Berman, M. G. (2010), Directed attention as a common resource for executive functioning and self-regulation, perspectives on psychological science, 5 (1), 43- 57. [DOI:10.1177/1745691609356784] [PMID]
27. Kurennaya, V. V., Rybasova, Y. V., Alivanova, S. V., Shevchenko, E. A., & Lugovskoi, S. I. (2019). Strategic alliance as a modern format for the future development of food subcomplexes. Research Journal of Pharmaceutical, Biological and Chemical Sciences, 10(2), 436-442.
28. Li, S. (2021). Research on the Path of Innovation of the Financial System from the Perspective of Rural Revitalisation. Open Journal of Social Sciences, 9(4), 241-249. [DOI:10.4236/jss.2021.94018]
29. Miles, L., & Shipway, R. (2020). Exploring the COVID-19 pandemic as a catalyst for stimulating future research agendas for managing crises and disasters at international sport events. Event Management, 24(4), 537-552. [DOI:10.3727/152599519X15506259856688]
30. Mölleryd, B. (2015), "Development of high-speed networks and the role of municipal networks", OECD Science, Technology and Industry Policy Papers, No. 26, OECD Publishing, Paris.
31. Morse, S,. Vogiatzakis, I. N. (2014). Resource Use and Deprivation: Geographical Analysis of the Ecological Footprint and Townsend Index for England, Sustainability, 6 (8): 4749- 4771. [DOI:10.3390/su6084749]
32. Mueller, J. T., McConnell, K., Burow, P. B., Pofahl, K., Merdjanoff, A. A., & Farrell, J. (2021). Impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on rural America. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 118(1), 1- 18. [DOI:10.1073/pnas.2019378118] [PMID] []
33. Narula, R. (2020). Policy opportunities and challenges from the COVID-19 pandemic for economies with large informal sectors. Journal of international business policy, 3(3), 302-310. [DOI:10.1057/s42214-020-00059-5] []
34. Nijman, J. (2015). India's urban future: Views from the slum. American Behavioral Scientist, 59(3), 406-423. [DOI:10.1177/0002764214550304]
35. OECD (2020), "The territorial impact of COVID-19: Managing the crisis across levels of government", OECD Policy Responses to Coronavirus (COVID-19), OECD, Paris, https://www.oecd.org/coronavirus/policy-responses/the-territorial-impact-of-covid-19-managing-the-crisis-across-levels-of-government-d3e31224e1/.
36. OECD (2020), OECD Employment Outlook 2020: Worker Security and the COVID-19 Crisis, OECD Publishing, Paris, https://dx.doi.org/10.1787/1686c7458-en.
37. Sardar, Z. (2010). The Namesake: Futures; futures studies; futurology; futuristic; foresight-What's in a name?. Futures, 42(3), 177-184. [DOI:10.1016/j.futures.2009.11.001]
38. Termos, A., & Yorke-Smith, N. (2022). Urbanism and Geographic Crises: A Micro-Simulation Lens on Beirut. Urban Planning, 7(1), 87-100. [DOI:10.17645/up.v7i1.4711]
39. Wang, H., & Zhuo, Y. (2018). The necessary way for the development of China's rural areas in the new era-rural revitalization strategy. Open Journal of Social Sciences, 6(6), 97-106. [DOI:10.4236/jss.2018.66010]
40. Wang, R., Feng, Y., Wei, Y., Tong, X., Zhai, S., Zhou, Y., & Wu, P. (2021). A comparison of proximity and accessibility drivers in simulating dynamic urban growth. Transactions in GIS, 25(2), 923-947. [DOI:10.1111/tgis.12707]
41. Zhang, J. W. Howell, R. T. and Iyer, R. (2014), Engagement With natural beauty moderates the positive relation between connectedness With natural and psychological well- being, Journal of Environmental psychology, 38, 55- 63. [DOI:10.1016/j.jenvp.2013.12.013]

Add your comments about this article : Your username or Email:
CAPTCHA

Send email to the article author


Rights and permissions
Creative Commons License This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.

© 2024 CC BY-NC 4.0 | Applied researches in Geographical Sciences

Designed & Developed by : Yektaweb