دوره 11، شماره 42 - ( 10-1399 )
سال11 شماره 42 صفحات 186-157 |
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soleimanimagham Y, Nademi Y, chegeni M. The Effect of Misery Index on the Rate of Crime in the Provinces of Iran. jemr 2020; 11 (42) :157-186
URL: http://jemr.khu.ac.ir/article-1-2090-fa.html
URL: http://jemr.khu.ac.ir/article-1-2090-fa.html
سلیمانی مقام یحیی، نادمی یونس، چگنی مهدی. تأثیر شاخص فلاکت بر میزان ارتکاب جرائم در استان‌های ایران. تحقیقات مدلسازی اقتصادی. 1399; 11 (42) :157-186
یحیی سلیمانی مقام* 
1، یونس نادمی2 ، مهدی چگنی2
1، یونس نادمی2 ، مهدی چگنی2
1- دانشگاه تهران ، soleimani.yahya93@gmail.com
2- دانشگاه آیت الله بروجردی
2- دانشگاه آیت الله بروجردی
چکیده: (4258 مشاهده)
جرم پدیدهای است که در تمام جوامع وجود دارد و عملکرد مفید بخشهای مختلف یک کشور را تحت تأثیر قرار میدهد. جامعه ایران نیز از آسیبهای این پدیده در امان نمانده است. با توجه به آثار مخرب جرم در جامعه، شناخت عوامل مؤثر بر آن موجب میشود تا به شکل مفیدتری بتوان با آن مبارزه کرد. بدین منظور این پژوهش به بررسی تأثیر شاخص فلاکت بر میزان ارتکاب جرم سرقت در 30 استان کشور طی سالهای 1387-1397 پرداخته است. به‌منظور نیل به این هدف از روش پانل گشتاورهای تعمیم‌یافته استفاده شده است. یافتههای این پژوهش نشان داده است که شاخص فلاکت تأثیری افزایشی بر ارتکاب جرم سرقت داشته است. به‌عبارت‌دیگر شاخص فلاکت از دو کانال تورم و بیکاری آثار مخربی بر سطح زندگی افراد میگذارد و آنها را در مسیر ارتکاب جرائمی چون سرقت قرار میدهد.
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