Journal of Spatial Analysis Environmental Hazards

fa ارزیابی آسیب پذیری کشاورزی در مواجهه با تغییرات اقلیمی (مطالعه موردی: استان گیلان) Assessing vulnerability of agriculture in the face of climate change (Case Study: Gilan Province) تخصصي Special كاربردي Applicable چکیده <span .="" b="" dir="LTR" font-size:="" lang="FA" mso-ansi-language:="" mso-ascii-font-family:="" mso-bidi-font-family:="" mso-bidi-language:="" mso-hansi-font-family:="" new="" span="" style="line-height: 115%; font-family: " times="">برای 16 شهرستان استان گیلان مورد محاسبه قرار گرفت. نتایج حاصل از این پژوهش نشان می دهد که برحسب شاخص CVI<span .="" 42="" b="" dir="LTR" font-size:="" lang="FA" lotus="" mso-ansi-language:="" mso-ascii-font-family:="" mso-bidi-font-family:="" mso-bidi-language:="" mso-hansi-font-family:="" new="" span="" style="line-height: 115%; font-family: " times=""> بیشترین آسیب پذیری برای شهرستان تالش (66/99) ، در مؤلفه Mبیشترین آسیب پذیری برای رودبار (21/97) ، در مؤلفه Aو کمترین برای بندر انزلی (21/2)<span b="" dir="LTR" font-size:="" lang="FA" mso-ansi-language:="" mso-ascii-font-family:="" mso-bidi-font-family:="" mso-bidi-language:="" mso-hansi-font-family:="" new="" span="" style="line-height: 115%; font-family: " times="">بیشترین آسیب پذیری برای شفت (66/66) ، در مؤلفه U و کمترین برای آستارا (92/28)<span b="" dir="LTR" font-size:="" lang="FA" mso-ansi-language:="" mso-ascii-font-family:="" mso-bidi-font-family:="" mso-bidi-language:="" mso-hansi-font-family:="" new="" span="" style="line-height: 115%; font-family: " times="">بیشترین آسیب پذیری برای تالش (49/76) و در مؤلفه Gو کمترین آسیب پذیری برای سیاهکل (24/23) <span style="line-height: 115%; font-family: " b="" nazanin";="" font-size:="" 10pt;="" mso-bidi-language:="" fa;="" mso-ascii-font-family:="" "times="" new="" roman";="" mso-hansi-font-family:="" roman";"="" lang="FA">گزارش شد. Abstract Climate change in one area has severe impacts on water resources and, consequently, agriculture in that area. Therefore, studying the extent of the vulnerability of regions to adopting policies to reduce or adapt to new conditions is of particular importance. One of the methods for assessing the extent of damage to agricultural activities is the calculation of the vulnerability index. In this study, with the aim of assessing agricultural vulnerability to climate change, The CVI index was calculated for 16 cities in Guilan province. The results showed that the cities of Rasht (61.58) and Talesh (55.21) had the highest vulnerability and, accordingly, had the least adaptive power to climate change compared to other cities. And Langrood County (29.51) has the lowest number of vulnerabilities. The average value of the calculated index is 40.42 in Guilan province. In component R, the most vulnerable were Talesh (99.66) and lowest for Lahijan (2.27), In component M, the highest vulnerability was for Rudbar (97.21) and the lowest for Talesh (24.30), In component A, the most vulnerable were Rasht (89.99) and the lowest for Anzali (2.21), In component C, the most vulnerable were Shaft (66.66) and lowest for Anzali (1.89), In component U, the most vulnerable were Rasht (67.55) and the lowest for Astara (28.92), In component E, the highest vulnerability was for Talesh (76.49) and lowest for Lahijan (22.69), In component G, the most vulnerable was reported to Rasht (53.05) and the lowest vulnerability was reported for Sunnelk (23.24). واژگان کلیدی: گیلان, شاخص آسیب پذیری, CVI, کشاورزی, تغییر اقلیم Key words: Gilan, Vulnerability Index, CVI, Agriculture, Climate Change 89 106 http://jsaeh.khu.ac.ir/browse.php?a_code=A-10-627-1&slc_lang=fa&sid=1 manouchehr Farajzadeh منوچهر فرج زاده اصل farajzam@modares.ac.ir 10031947532846005060 10031947532846005060 Yes tarbiat modarres دانشگاه تربیت مدرس zahra kazemnezhad زهرا کاظم نژاد kazemnezhad.p@gmail.com 10031947532846005061 10031947532846005061 No pnu دانشگاه پیام نور reza borna رضا برنا Borna@gmail.com 10031947532846005062 10031947532846005062 No srbiau دانشگاه علوم و تحقیقات