TY - JOUR
T1 - Estimation of Phillips Curve with Regression Models of Smooth
TT - برآورد منحنی فیلیپس با استفاده از مدلهای رگرسیونی انتقال ملایم
JF - JSE
JO - JSE
VL - 1
IS - 3
UR - http://jfm.khu.ac.ir/article-1-216-en.html
Y1 - 2011
SP - 169
EP - 190
KW - Phillips curve
KW - Inflation
KW - Unemployment
KW - GDP Gap
KW - Nonlinear Phillips Curve
KW - Smooth Transition Regression Models
N2 - The Phillips curve usually has been estimated in a linear framework which implies a stable constant relationship between inflation and unemployment. Some of the studies claim that the slope of the Phillips curve is a function of macroeconomic conditions and also the relationship is asymmetric. This article deals with a smooth transition regression model for relationship between inflation and unemployment for Iran, during the period of 1971 -2007. Smooth transition regression model is a non linear time series regression model which could be considered as developed form of regime switching regression model. Results show that there is a negative and nonlinear relationship between inflation and unemployment in short-term. Regarding this result it's highly important for policy makers to be able to make a relationship between these two variables
M3
ER -