دوره 11، شماره 41 - ( 7-1399 )
سال11 شماره 41 صفحات 50-7 |
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Mohamadkhani S, Fotros M H, Mowlaei M. Measuring the Short-Term and Long-Term Effects of Factors Affecting the Export of High-Tech Product Groups in Iran. jemr 2020; 11 (41) :7-50
URL: http://jemr.khu.ac.ir/article-1-2078-fa.html
URL: http://jemr.khu.ac.ir/article-1-2078-fa.html
محمدخانی سمانه، فطرس محمدحسن، مولایی محمد. سنجش اثرات کوتاه مدت و بلند مدت عوامل موثر بر صادرات گروه‌های محصولات با فناوری بالا در ایران. تحقیقات مدلسازی اقتصادی. 1399; 11 (41) :7-50
سمانه محمدخانی1 
، محمدحسن فطرس* 2، محمد مولایی1
، محمدحسن فطرس* 2، محمد مولایی1
1- دانشگاه بوعلی سینا
2- دانشگاه بوعلی سینا ،fotros@basu.ac.ir
2- دانشگاه بوعلی سینا ،
چکیده: (4788 مشاهده)
اهمیت ﺻﺎدرات ﻏﯿﺮنفتی و ﻧﻘﺶ آن در رﺷﺪ و ﺗﻮﺳﻌﻪ اﻗﺘﺼﺎدی ﮐﺸﻮرﻫﺎ ﻫﻤﻮاره به ﻋﻨﻮان یﮑﯽ از ﻣﻮﺿﻮﻋﺎت ﻣﻬﻢ اﻗﺘﺼﺎدی ﻣﻄﺮح ﺑﻮده است. در این میان، نقش صادرات کالاهای با فناوری بالا در رشد کشورهای توسعه یافته، قابل توجه بوده وکشورهای در حال توسعه نیز جهت توفیق در رشد تولید و صادرات کالاهای صنعتی خود تحت قیود جهانی شدن، چاره ای جز افزایش تولید و صادرات محصولات با فناوری بالا، به¬کارگیری تکنیک¬های تولیدی پیشرفته¬تر و صرفه¬جویی در هزینه های تولید خود ندارند. این موضوع به¬خصوص در مورد کشور ایران که به دلیل وابستگی به درآمدهای نفتی همواره با مسئلۀ تاثیر مخرب بی ثباتی درآمدهای نفتی در نتیجۀ مسائل سیاسی و اقتصادی بین الملی، به ویژه مسئله تحریم¬های نفتی، بر شاخص¬های کلان اقتصادی مواجه بوده ، از اهمیت خاصی برخوردار است. در این راستا هدف مطالعۀ حاضر، بررسی عوامل موثر بر صادرات محصولات با فناوری بالا بر اساس کدهای چهاررقمی ISIC در ایران در دوره 1397-1375 با استفاده از روش Panel ARDL است. نتایج مطالعه نشان دهندۀ آن است که هزینه های تحقیق و توسعه داخلی ، انباشت خارجی تحقیق و توسعه و تجاری سازی در کوتاه مدت و بلند مدت و درجه باز بودن اقتصاد و سرمایه انسانی در بلند¬مدت اثر مثبت و معنادار بر 1صادرات این نوع محصولات در ایران دارند. همچنین نرخ ارز در کوتاه مدت اثر بی معنی و در بلندمدت اثر منفی و معنادار و اختراعات در کوتاه مدت و بلند مدت اثر معنادار بر صادرات این محصولات نداشته است
نوع مطالعه: كاربردي |
موضوع مقاله:
رشد و توسعه و سیاست های کلان
دریافت: 1399/6/14 | پذیرش: 1399/9/9 | انتشار: 1399/10/21
دریافت: 1399/6/14 | پذیرش: 1399/9/9 | انتشار: 1399/10/21
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