دوره 7، شماره 24 - ( 4-1395 )                   سال7 شماره 24 صفحات 146-123 | برگشت به فهرست نسخه ها


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sharify N, hosseinzadeh R. Effect of Interregional Export on Regional Output Growth: Case study of Golestan Province and other Regional Using Two-Regional Input- Output Table. jemr 2016; 7 (24) :123-146
URL: http://jemr.khu.ac.ir/article-1-1122-fa.html
شریفی نورالدین، حسین زاده رمضان. اثر صادرات بین منطقه‌ای بر رشد تولید مناطق: مطالعه موردی استان گلستان و سایر مناطق با استفاده از تحلیل داده- ستانده دومنطقه‌ای. تحقیقات مدلسازی اقتصادی. 1395; 7 (24) :123-146

URL: http://jemr.khu.ac.ir/article-1-1122-fa.html


1- دانشگاه مازندران
2- دانشگاه سیستان و بلوچستان ، ra.hosseinzadeh@yahoo.com
چکیده:   (6121 مشاهده)

این تحقیق در پی بررسی اثر تغییر ترکیب صادرات واسطه‌ای و میزان کل صادرات واسطه‌ای بین-منطقه‏ای بر تولید بخش‌های مختلف استان گلستان و سایر مناطق کشور بر اساس مدل داده-ستانده دو منطقه‌ای می‌باشد. برای این منظور، ابتدا جداول‏ داده- ستانده دو منطقه‌ای برای هریک از این مناطق(استان گلستان و سایر مناطق کشور) برای سال‏های 1385 و 1389 تهیه شده و سپس با استفاده از تکنیک تحلیل تجزیه ساختاری (SDA) اثرات تغییر ترکیب صادرات و میزان کل صادرات بین منطقه ای بر تغییر تولید این مناطق مورد بررسی قرار می‌گیرد. نتایج حاصل از مدل در مورد استان گلستان نشان می‌دهد که کل صادرات محصولات واسطه‌ای استان گلستان به سایر مناطق کشور در دوره مورد مطالعه 09/349 میلیارد ریال کاهش یافته است که این امر موجب کاهش 76/335 میلیارد ریال تولید کل استان شده است. همچنین تغییر ترکیب صادرات استان گلستان به سایر مناطق کشور موجب افزایش 78/9 میلیارد ریال در تولید کل استان شده است.

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نوع مطالعه: كاربردي | موضوع مقاله: شهری و منطقه ای
دریافت: 1393/7/20 | پذیرش: 1395/4/29 | انتشار: 1395/6/29

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