Search published articles


Showing 7 results for azari

Dr Iman Haqiqi, Dr Hasan Aqanazari, Dr Gholamali Sharzei,
Volume 4, Issue 11 (3-2013)
Abstract

The purpose of this paper is to introduce the “Natural Resources Perpetuity Rule” in the allocation of resources revenue. We also analyzed the potential impacts of implementing this rule on oil and gas revenues in Iran. To do so, we employed a Computable General Equilibrium Model which is calibrated based on 2010 Micro Consistent Matrix. We assumed an open economy with different sectors such as oil and gas, public services and other activities. Assuming exhaustibility, we measure the impact of different saving rates from Resources Revenue (SR) on welfare, size of public sector, activity levels and exports. We found that the more the SR, the more the welfare loss in first years, the higher the long-run welfare path, the more the non-oil export and the less the size of public sector.
Hossein Raghfar, Mir Hossen Mousavi, Batool Azari, Mitra Babapour,
Volume 5, Issue 15 (3-2014)
Abstract

One of the issues discussed in economy is the socioeconomic inequality in the society. Income mobility is another measure which indicates the degree of inequality of opportunity in a society. The extent of income mobility depends on socio-economic status of the individuals. Different socio-economic status leads to further inequality and increases inequality of opportunity. Such inequalities lead to the formation of Poverty which can be reproduced and transmitted from one cohort to the other, if not utilize the appropriate method. income mobility is measured as either conditional or absolute one. In Conditional mobility fixed effects are considered, however in absolute mobility it is not so. Fixed effect parameter that indicates the heterogeneity between individuals. According to the importance of the issue of poverty and the relation it has with inequality, this paper studies the conditional mobility in the economy of  Iran. In this study Household Survey Data collected by Iran Statistical Center from 1988 till 2011 is used. The method of nonlinear dynamic pseudo-panel has been used in order to measure income inequality dynamics. Nonlinear dynamics of income inequality for urban areas in Iran are estimated. This method enables us to track the performance of each cohort over time. The main results of this study indicate that the conditional income mobility is low and dine quality in the country has increased over time. Facing negative shocks, households cannot quickly improve their situation and return to the initial income, and at the same time, the market operation in itself cannot fix the problem. This means that the market provides more favorable conditions for people who have higher power and wealth. This leads the inequality to spread to the higher level.


Mir Hossein Mousavi, Batoul Azari Beni,
Volume 6, Issue 21 (10-2015)
Abstract

Maximizing the social welfare considered as one of the main aspects the development process in society. This important is achieved through increased quality of life and welfare consumer the individual. In this context, quality of life and welfare consumer women as an important group of human resources in society, is affected by various factors. Despite women’s welfare patterns there is no precise information in this regard. Given the importance this issue, the present study using method Deaton and Paxson (1997) and life cycle model separation women heads of household expenditure as variable of welfare to three age, cohort and period effect. Therefore, in this paper, typical pattern is used pseudo-panel data. Pseudo-panel data using repeated cross-sectional data, Create generations of families during time. The feature of this method is, to trace the performance of each cohort over time. The results showed that lowest consumption is done by first generation. The age effect shows household consumption expenditure increased with increasing age. The time effect also shows Amount increase in consumption in the first decade (1991 to 2001) to more than the amount consumed in the second decade (2001 and 2011).


Marzieh Khakestari, Navid Nazari Adli,
Volume 6, Issue 21 (10-2015)
Abstract

Monetary wide range of sanctions has been established against Iran in recent years by European :::::union::::: and United States. These sanctions have been targeted   Iran energy and oil industry. Although, these types of sanctions are not new on Iran and Iran is familiar whit them since oil nationalization movement. This paper studies these sanctions effects on Iran in recent years and tries to assess the possible strategies with game theory. In order to achieve this proposed, three players are introduced: Iran, Saudi Arabia and United States, and then a model have been established. At the following, the model was solved and Nash equilibrium obtained for each one. Each of three  players , United States , Saudi Arabia and  Iran choose their strategy, respectively, pressure reduction, cooperation and cooperation. At the end of this study, the impact of oil sanction on Iran's sales, has been shown. Eventually, it was seen even with great increasing in world oil prices, Iran's in come has been downward.


Aziz Arman, Mis Batool Azari Beni,
Volume 9, Issue 34 (12-2018)
Abstract

Fluctuations in housing prices in recent years in Iran has always been one of the most important economic issues on the economic welfare changes affect lifetime. In this paper, the effects of housing on the dynamics of income generations age is examined. This phenomenon type of model is designed to assess the generation of data building. The model is designed household budget generations by combining cross-sectional data from households in the years 2007 to 2015 are tracking. In this research, in order to clarify the contents of the review results in four steps without shock and shock 5, 10 and 15 percent reported. The results show that the average income of households without shock reduced from 86 years to 89 and then 89 years with little speed has increased, although the increase in revenue in less than 86 years is 90 years. As well as small shock in 2007 has led to middle income households in that year and the following years than before the occurrence of shocks is reduced. While the occurrence of a great shock (15%) reduces the average household income has been greatly. This could mean that in the event of a large shock of vulnerable households are barely able to restore income dropped while repairing a small shock is possible.

Ali Falahati, Soheyla Nazari, Maryam Poshtehkeshi,
Volume 11, Issue 39 (3-2020)
Abstract


Natural resource rent affects countries’ economies through various channels. Revenues from the natural resources sales are expected to boost countries' economic growth, but the economic experience of recent decades reveals the numerous economic problems in these countries, the most important of which may be the increase in the shadow economy size. Moreover, the institutions specify the significant economic axes like resources and assets distribution in the community, so that the level of institutional quality brings about the optimal resource directing and their allocation through economic stability and affects the shadow economy volume by increasing economic stability and reducing uncertainty. The purpose of the present study was to examine the effect of natural resource rent and institutional quality on the shadow economy in 87 countries with high and low inflation rates from 2000 to 2018. The analysis method was system generalized-method of moments (System GMM). Smart PLS software was used to estimate the shadow economy. The results indicated that in both low-inflation and high-inflation countries, the increase in institutional quality has reduced the size of the shadow economy, and the rent of natural resources has had a positive relationship with the volume of the shadow economy

Nasrin Motedayen, Rafik Nazarian, Marjan Damankeshideh, Roya Seifi Pour,
Volume 12, Issue 45 (11-2021)
Abstract

Credit risk is the probability of default of the borrower or the counterparty of the bank in fulfilling its obligations, according to the agreed terms. In other words, uncertainty about receiving future investment income is called risk, which is of great importance in banks. The purpose of this article was to estimate the credit risk of Mellat Bank's legal customers. In this study, the statistical information of 7330 real customers was used. In this regard, the results of neural network model and support vector machine model have been compared. The obtained results have shown that the components considered in this study based on personality, financial and economic characteristics had significant effects on the probability of customer default and credit risk calculation. Also, the results of this study showed that the application of control policies at the beginning of the repayment period suggests facilities that have the highest probability of default with long life and high repayment. Comparing the results obtained from the prediction accuracy of different models, it was observed that the explanatory power of the support vector machine model and the use of the survival probability function was higher than that of the simple neural network model for the studied groups of real customers.


Page 1 from 1     

© 2024 CC BY-NC 4.0 | Journal of Economic Modeling Research

Designed & Developed by : Yektaweb